Egypt Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Al Ittihad
vs
El Gouna FC
2 – 1 Full time
| 8′ | Mohamed Mido Mostafa | ||
| 10′ | Hossam Hassan | ||
| 41′ | Tolulope Samuel Ojo | ||
| 45′ | Ziad El ShayatOmar El Gazar | ||
| 60′ | Mohamed Toni | ||
| 61′ | Tolulope Samuel Ojo | ||
| 66′ | Mohamed ToniMahmoud Emad | ||
| 66′ | Ahmed GamalAlaa Shaaban | ||
| 66′ | Abdel Gawad TaalabMarwan Mohsen | ||
| 66′ | Joseph ArumalaAhmed Eid Nagy | ||
| 71′ | Alpha Turaymarwan essam | ||
| 75′ | Hossam HassanJohn Okoye Ebuka | ||
| 80′ | Nour AlaaYoussry Wahid | ||
| 80′ | Mohamed FakhriAhmed Hamdi | ||
| 83′ | Michael EgbembaMohamed Reda |
Al Ittihad
49%
Draw
31%
El Gouna FC
20%
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 297 | Accurate passes | 190 |
Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC
| Probability | Al Ittihad | Draw | El Gouna FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.3% | 31.6% | 20.1% |
| Market | 49.4% | 30.5% | 20.1% |
| Final | 49.1% | 30.8% | 20.1% |
| Edge | -0.3% | +0.3% | +0.0% |
Why Al Ittihad
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.28 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
85%
2+ goals
61%
3+ goals
33%
No goals
15%
Al Ittihad and El Gouna FC expected goals
Al Ittihad
1.28
El Gouna FC
0.74
Total expected goals: 2.02
Al Ittihad and El Gouna FC attack and defence ratings
Al Ittihad
Attack
1.18 +18%
Defence
0.85 -15%
El Gouna FC
Attack
0.86 -14%
Defence
1.04 +4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC: result vs prediction
Al Ittihad 2 – 1 El Gouna FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Olympic El Qanah v AL Masry — match page
- Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly — team news & stats
- El Mokawloon vs Masr
- Future FC v Enppi — match page
- Pyramids FC vs Ceramica Cleopatra — team news & stats
- Smouha SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla
- National Bank of Egypt v El Geish — match page
- Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Ittihad | 49.1% | 2.04 | -0.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Ittihad | 49.1% |
| Draw | 30.8% | |
| El Gouna FC | 20.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.9% |
| No | 61.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Ittihad win | 23.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.2% | |
| Loss | 51.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.8% |
| 0-0 | 14.5% | |
| 1-1 | 13.8% |
Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC stats
Al Ittihad and El Gouna FC recent form
| Al Ittihad |
WWWLDD |
| El Gouna FC |
LLLDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Ittihad and El Gouna FC going into this match
Al Ittihad record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
El Gouna FC record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Al Ittihad wins
2Draws
6El Gouna FC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | El Gouna FC | Al Ittihad | Egypt Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Al Ittihad | El Gouna FC | Egypt Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2025-03-11 | El Gouna FC | Al Ittihad | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2025-02-17 | Al Ittihad | El Gouna FC | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-27 | El Gouna FC | Al Ittihad | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2023-10-06 | Al Ittihad | El Gouna FC | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2022-05-27 | El Gouna FC | Al Ittihad | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2021-11-18 | Al Ittihad | El Gouna FC | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2021-05-25 | Al Ittihad | El Gouna FC | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2021-01-14 | El Gouna FC | Al Ittihad | Premier League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.4%, draw 30.5%, away 20.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.00 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.00 | 4.45 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.00 | 4.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.89 | 3.00 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 2.80 | 4.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85 | 2.98 | 5.66 |
| SBO | 2.04 | 2.70 | 3.45 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 2.80 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.85 ▼ -0.45
X
2.99 ▲ +0.37
2
4.55 ▲ +0.95
14 snapshots recorded, from .