Egypt Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry

1 – 1 Full time

22′Hazem Abosena
30′Mahmoud Behiry
41′Abderrahim Deghmoum
45′Mounder TemineSalah Mohsen
45′Hussein FaisalAli Sulieman
55′Hassan Ali
55′Mahmoud HanyHossam Greisha
57′Mohamed HashemMostafa Al Aash
69′Mohab Samy
75′Salah Mohsen
78′mawuli wayoMohamed Hassan
86′Mohamed SadekAhmed Ali Amer
86′Mohab SamyMohamed Hozian
90′Abderrahim DeghmoumMohamed El Shamy
90′Hassan AliMahmoud Hamada
90′Mostafa Al Aash

Suez Canal Stadium, IsmailiaReferee: M. El Ghazy

Olympic El Qanah 26%
Draw 30%
AL Masry 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 3
30 Possession % 70
3 Corners 4
13 Fouls 17
2 Offsides 2
2 Saves 4
127 Accurate passes 426

Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOlympic El QanahDrawAL Masry
Model42.0%31.7%26.3%
Market20.3%29.7%50.0%
Final25.7%30.2%44.1%
Edge+5.4%+0.5%-5.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why AL Masry

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Olympic El Qan ↓ / AL Masry → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 9% 1 13% 15% 2 9% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

Olympic El Qanah and AL Masry expected goals

Olympic El Qanah 1.23
AL Masry 0.92

Total expected goals: 2.15

Olympic El Qanah and AL Masry attack and defence ratings

Olympic El Qanah

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.02 +2%

AL Masry

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry: result vs prediction

Olympic El Qanah 1 – 1 AL Masry

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Egypt Premier League

Before and after this match

Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 AL Masry 44.1% 2.27 -5.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.6% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score No 56.1% 1.78 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 74.3% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 73.7% 1.36 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Olympic El Qanah25.7%
Draw30.2%
AL Masry44.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.4%
Under 2.563.6%
Both teams to scoreYes43.9%
No56.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.9%
12 (either side)69.8%
X2 (draw or away)74.3%
Handicap -1AL Masry win9.6%
Push (exactly one goal)16.7%
Loss73.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.5%
1-013.0%
0-013.0%

Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry stats

Olympic El Qanah and AL Masry recent form

newest first
Olympic El Qanah LDDDW
AL Masry LLLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Olympic El Qanah and AL Masry going into this match

league record before kick-off

Olympic El Qanah record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

AL Masry record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Olympic El Qanah wins 2Draws 0AL Masry wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2014-05-13AL MasryOlympic El QanahPremier League0-0
2014-02-19Olympic El QanahAL MasryPremier League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 20.3%, draw 29.7%, away 50.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.68 3.08 1.76
Bet365 5.00 3.00 1.73
BetVictor 4.40 3.10 1.75
Betano 4.40 3.10 1.88
Betfair 4.50 3.25 1.85
Dafabet 4.40 3.15 1.87
Marathonbet 4.55 3.08 1.74
Pinnacle 5.21 3.21 1.83
SBO 3.85 2.91 1.84
William Hill 4.60 3.00 1.85

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.53 ▼ -0.21
X 3.09 ▼ -0.03
2 1.83 ▲ +0.03

13 snapshots recorded, from .