Olympic El Qanah
vs
AL Masry
Garuda Lions Prediction: AL Masry
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry
| Probability | Olympic El Qanah | Draw | AL Masry |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.0% | 31.7% | 26.3% |
| Market | 19.8% | 29.4% | 50.9% |
| Final | 25.3% | 29.9% | 44.7% |
| Edge | +22.2% | +2.3% | -24.5% |
Why AL Masry
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.85, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry match preview
Olympic El Qanah faces AL Masry in the Egypt Premier League, with the model assigning a 25% chance of a home win, a 30% probability of a draw, and a 45% likelihood of an away victory for AL Masry. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 9%. The expected goals for Olympic El Qanah stand at 1.28, while AL Masry is projected to score 0.97.
In terms of recent form, Olympic El Qanah has recorded one win in their last five matches, with a sequence of results showing L-D-D-D-W. Conversely, AL Masry has experienced a challenging run, with three losses in their last six games, including two consecutive defeats. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals are at 39%, and both teams to score is at 46%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Olympic El Qanah and AL Masry expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.15
Olympic El Qanah and AL Masry attack and defence ratings
Olympic El Qanah
AL Masry
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AL Masry | 44.7% | 2.24 | -24.5% | 1.85 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olympic El Qanah | 25.3% |
| Draw | 29.9% | |
| AL Masry | 44.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.9% |
| No | 56.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | AL Masry win | 9.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.7% | |
| Loss | 73.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 1-0 | 13.0% | |
| 0-0 | 13.0% |
Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry stats
Olympic El Qanah and AL Masry recent form
| Olympic El Qanah |
LDDDW |
| AL Masry |
LLLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.
Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.8%, draw 29.4%, away 50.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.68 | 3.08 | 1.76 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 3.00 | 1.73 |
| BetVictor | 4.50 | 3.10 | 1.75 |
| Betano | 4.60 | 3.15 | 1.83 |
| Betfair | 4.60 | 3.30 | 1.85 |
| Dafabet | 4.50 | 3.10 | 1.79 |
| Marathonbet | 4.55 | 3.08 | 1.74 |
| Pinnacle | 5.09 | 3.15 | 1.80 |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 3.00 | 1.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .