Al Ahly
vs
Olympic El Qanah
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al Ahly
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
Al Ahly vs Olympic El Qanah overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Ahly vs Olympic El Qanah
| Probability | Al Ahly | Draw | Olympic El Qanah |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.7% | 26.3% | 15.0% |
| Market | 75.3% | 17.0% | 7.7% |
| Final | 71.2% | 19.3% | 9.5% |
| Edge | -16.6% | +9.3% | +7.4% |
Why Al Ahly
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.73.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.25, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Al Ahly vs Olympic El Qanah match preview
Al Ahly enters the match against Olympic El Qanah with a strong probability of winning at 70%. Their recent form shows they have been performing well, with five consecutive wins and one draw in their last six matches. The expected goals for Al Ahly stand at 1.63, indicating a solid attacking performance, while Olympic El Qanah is expected to score 0.72 goals.
On the other hand, Olympic El Qanah has struggled recently, managing only one win in their last six matches, with four draws and one loss. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Al Ahly, which aligns with the probabilities of both teams scoring, set at 42%. With a confidence grade of C, this matchup promises to be competitive, though Al Ahly appears to hold the upper hand.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al Ahly and Olympic El Qanah expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.39
Al Ahly and Olympic El Qanah attack and defence ratings
Al Ahly
Olympic El Qanah
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- AL Masry vs Abu Qair Semad
- Enppi v El Mokawloon — match page
- Asyut Petrol vs Zamalek SC
- Masr vs Future FC
- Wadi Degla vs National Bank of Egypt — team news & stats
- El Geish v Pyramids FC — match page
- Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad — team news & stats
- Ceramica Cleopatra vs Petrojet — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Al Ahly vs Olympic El Qanah markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Ahly | 71.2% | 1.41 | -16.6% | 1.25 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.5% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Ahly | 71.2% |
| Draw | 19.3% | |
| Olympic El Qanah | 9.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.1% |
| No | 56.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 28.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Ahly win | 33.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.4% | |
| Loss | 41.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.1% |
| 2-0 | 12.6% | |
| 1-1 | 12.2% |
Al Ahly vs Olympic El Qanah stats
Al Ahly and Olympic El Qanah recent form
| Al Ahly |
WWWDWW |
| Olympic El Qanah |
DLDDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Ahly and Olympic El Qanah season so far
Al Ahly record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Olympic El Qanah record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Al Ahly vs Olympic El Qanah head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Al Ahly vs Olympic El Qanah odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 75.3%, draw 17.0%, away 7.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.19 | 5.40 | 12.70 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.20 | 5.00 | 11.50 |
| Betano | 1.25 | 5.30 | 11.00 |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 5.50 | 12.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.21 | 5.40 | 11.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.18 | 5.40 | 12.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.22 | 5.73 | 12.25 |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 5.00 | 13.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .