Al Ahly
vs
Kitara
4 – 0 Full time
| 37′ | H. El Shahat | ||
| 44′ | Afsha | ||
| 51′ | H. El Shahat | ||
| 68′ | T. Mohamed |
Al Ahly vs Kitara overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Ahly vs Kitara
| Probability | Al Ahly | Draw | Kitara |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.2% | 23.7% | 16.2% |
| Market | 86.7% | 9.7% | 3.6% |
| Final | 80.1% | 13.2% | 6.7% |
| Edge | -6.6% | +3.5% | +3.2% |
Why Al Ahly
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 0.91.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al Ahly and Kitara expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.84
Al Ahly and Kitara attack and defence ratings
Al Ahly
Kitara
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al Ahly vs Kitara: result vs prediction
Al Ahly 4 – 0 Kitara
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- Welwalo Adigrat Uni v Al Ahli Tripoli — match page
- Masr v Azam — match page
- Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs — team news & stats
- Kitara vs Al Ahly — team news & stats
- ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako — team news & stats
- AFAD vs CS Sfaxien — team news & stats
- Rayon Sports vs Black Bulls Maputo
- Korhogo v FAR Rabat — match page
Before and after this match
Al Ahly vs Kitara markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Ahly | 80.1% | 1.25 | -6.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Ahly | 80.1% |
| Draw | 13.2% | |
| Kitara | 6.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.2% |
| No | 47.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 19.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Ahly win | 36.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 40.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 2-0 | 10.9% | |
| 1-0 | 10.2% |
Al Ahly vs Kitara stats
Al Ahly vs Kitara head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Kitara | Al Ahly | CAF Confederation Cup | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al Ahly vs Kitara odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 86.7%, draw 9.7%, away 3.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.02 | 10.20 | 25.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.07 | 9.50 | 34.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.07 | 5.50 | 12.00 |
| Betano | 1.07 | 7.10 | 27.00 |
| Betfair | 1.06 | 10.00 | 21.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.07 | 9.60 | 29.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.02 | 10.25 | 25.00 |
| William Hill | 1.07 | 9.00 | 29.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .