Korhogo
vs
FAR Rabat
Garuda Lions Prediction: Korhogo
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Korhogo vs FAR Rabat overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Korhogo vs FAR Rabat
| Probability | Korhogo | Draw | FAR Rabat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.8% | 26.3% | 19.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 53.8% | 26.3% | 19.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Korhogo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 0.95.
Korhogo vs FAR Rabat match preview
Korhogo enters the match against FAR Rabat with a 54% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 26% and FAR Rabat at 20%. The expected goals for Korhogo is 1.70 compared to FAR Rabat's 0.95, indicating a stronger offensive outlook for the home side. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, occurring with an 11% probability.
In terms of recent form, Korhogo has shown resilience with a win and a draw in their last two matches. Conversely, FAR Rabat has struggled, recording three draws and one loss in their last five fixtures, with a single win. The probability of both teams scoring is slightly above 50%, at 51%, while the likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 49%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Korhogo and FAR Rabat expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.65
Korhogo and FAR Rabat attack and defence ratings
Korhogo
FAR Rabat
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Korhogo vs FAR Rabat markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Korhogo | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Korhogo | 53.8% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| FAR Rabat | 19.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.4% |
| No | 48.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Korhogo win | 30.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 46.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 1-0 | 10.8% | |
| 2-0 | 10.2% |