CAF Confederation Cup · Full time ·2nd Preliminary Round

Tusker vs Singida Black Stars

0 – 1 Full time

52′Singida Black Stars
Tusker 28%
Draw 31%
Singida Black Stars 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Tusker vs Singida Black Stars overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Tusker vs Singida Black Stars

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTuskerDrawSingida Black Stars
Model37.6%29.6%32.8%
Market25.0%31.2%43.8%
Final28.1%30.8%41.1%
Edge+3.1%-0.4%-2.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Singida Black Stars

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Tusker ↓ / Singida Black → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 9% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Tusker and Singida Black Stars expected goals

Tusker 1.29
Singida Black Stars 1.20

Total expected goals: 2.49

Tusker and Singida Black Stars attack and defence ratings

Tusker

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Singida Black Stars

Attack 1.72 +72%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Tusker vs Singida Black Stars: result vs prediction

Tusker 0 – 1 Singida Black Stars

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

CAF Confederation Cup

Before and after this match

Tusker vs Singida Black Stars markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Singida Black Stars 41.1% 2.43 -2.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.7% 1.83 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.9% 1.93 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 71.9% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.2% 1.49 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Tusker28.1%
Draw30.8%
Singida Black Stars41.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.3%
Under 2.554.7%
Both teams to scoreYes51.9%
No48.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.9%
12 (either side)69.2%
X2 (draw or away)71.9%
Handicap -1Singida Black Stars win14.3%
Push (exactly one goal)18.6%
Loss67.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.1%
0-09.6%
1-09.5%

Tusker vs Singida Black Stars stats

Tusker and Singida Black Stars recent form

newest first
Tusker WWDDLL
Singida Black Stars LDWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Tusker vs Singida Black Stars head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Tusker vs Singida Black Stars odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 25.0%, draw 31.2%, away 43.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.60 2.88 2.07
Bet365 3.75 2.88 2.00
BetVictor 3.13 2.70 1.95
Marathonbet 3.50 2.88 2.05
William Hill 3.60 2.70 2.10

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.