Tusker
vs
Singida Black Stars
Garuda Lions Prediction: Singida Black Stars
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Tusker vs Singida Black Stars overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tusker vs Singida Black Stars
| Probability | Tusker | Draw | Singida Black Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.1% | 27.8% | 41.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 31.1% | 27.8% | 41.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Singida Black Stars
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Tusker vs Singida Black Stars match preview
Tusker faces Singida Black Stars in the CAF Confederation Cup, with the match kicking off on October 18, 2026. According to our model, Tusker has a 31% chance of winning, while Singida Black Stars holds a 41% probability. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 9%. The expected goals for Tusker are 1.27, compared to 1.48 for Singida Black Stars.
In terms of recent form, Tusker has recorded a sequence of W-D-D-L-L-W, while Singida Black Stars has performed slightly better with W-L-W-W-W-L. The probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52%, and both teams scoring is projected at 57%. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tusker and Singida Black Stars expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.61
Tusker and Singida Black Stars attack and defence ratings
Tusker
Singida Black Stars
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
Before and after this match
Tusker vs Singida Black Stars markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Singida Black Stars | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tusker | 31.1% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Singida Black Stars | 41.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.7% |
| No | 43.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Singida Black Stars win | 19.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 59.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 0-1 | 8.3% |
Tusker vs Singida Black Stars stats
Tusker and Singida Black Stars recent form
| Tusker |
WDDLLW |
| Singida Black Stars |
DWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.