AFAD
vs
CS Sfaxien
Garuda Lions Prediction: CS Sfaxien
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
AFAD vs CS Sfaxien overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AFAD vs CS Sfaxien
| Probability | AFAD | Draw | CS Sfaxien |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.8% | 29.5% | 46.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 23.8% | 29.5% | 46.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why CS Sfaxien
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
AFAD vs CS Sfaxien match preview
AFAD faces CS Sfaxien in the CAF Confederation Cup with a kickoff scheduled for October 17, 2026. According to our model, CS Sfaxien has a 47% probability of winning, while AFAD stands at 24% and a draw at 30%. The expected goals for AFAD are 0.94, compared to CS Sfaxien's 1.41. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring with a 12% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, AFAD has recorded two draws, one loss, and two wins in their last five matches, while CS Sfaxien has achieved two wins, two draws, and one loss. The probability of over 2.5 goals is 42%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 47%. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AFAD and CS Sfaxien expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.35
AFAD and CS Sfaxien attack and defence ratings
AFAD
CS Sfaxien
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
AFAD vs CS Sfaxien markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Sfaxien | 46.6% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AFAD | 23.8% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| CS Sfaxien | 46.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.4% |
| No | 52.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | CS Sfaxien win | 23.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 53.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 0-1 | 12.2% | |
| 0-0 | 10.8% |
AFAD vs CS Sfaxien stats
AFAD and CS Sfaxien recent form
| AFAD |
DDLWWD |
| CS Sfaxien |
WDWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.