Tunisia Ligue 1 · ·Matchday 5

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Sfaxien

Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw

0 – 0 Predicted score · 24% model probability

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 28%
Draw 39%
CS Sfaxien 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance of a draw
39%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
76%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
29%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 0
24% of simulated outcomes

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Sfaxien overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Sfaxien

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityProgrès Sakiet EddaïerDrawCS Sfaxien
Model28.2%39.2%32.6%
Market———
Final28.2%39.2%32.6%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Sfaxien match preview

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer faces CS Sfaxien in an upcoming Tunisia Ligue 1 match. The model indicates a probability of 28% for a Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer victory, while CS Sfaxien is at 33%, and a draw holds a 39% chance. The expected goals for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer is 0.71, slightly lower than CS Sfaxien's 0.79, suggesting a closely contested match.

In terms of recent form, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer has recorded a sequence of draws and wins, with their latest results being D-W-D-W. CS Sfaxien, on the other hand, has a mixed form of W-D-W-L-W-D. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 0-0, with a 24% probability, and there is a 19% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Progrès Sakiet ↓ / CS Sfaxien → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 24% 16% 1 15% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 76%
2+ goals 45%
3+ goals 19%
No goals 24%

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer and CS Sfaxien expected goals

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 0.71
CS Sfaxien 0.79

Total expected goals: 1.50

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer and CS Sfaxien attack and defence ratings

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 0.70 -30%

CS Sfaxien

Attack 1.57 +57%
Defence 0.65 -35%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Tunisia Ligue 1

Before and after this match

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Sfaxien markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Draw 39.2% 2.55 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 80.9% 1.24 — —
Both teams to score No 71.0% 1.41 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 71.8% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.4% 1.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer28.2%
Draw39.2%
CS Sfaxien32.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.519.1%
Under 2.580.9%
Both teams to scoreYes29.0%
No71.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.4%
12 (either side)60.8%
X2 (draw or away)71.8%
Handicap -1CS Sfaxien win10.9%
Push (exactly one goal)21.7%
Loss67.4%
Correct score (top 3)0-023.6%
0-116.3%
1-014.6%

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Sfaxien stats

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer and CS Sfaxien recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Sfaxien head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Sfaxien odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot X Draw Predicted score 0 – 0 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now