ES Tunis
vs
Olympique Béja
Garuda Lions Prediction: ES Tunis
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja
| Probability | ES Tunis | Draw | Olympique Béja |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.3% | 27.1% | 15.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 57.3% | 27.1% | 15.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why ES Tunis
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 0.73.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja match preview
ES Tunis is favored to win against Olympique Béja, with a probability of 57% compared to 16% for the visitors. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, occurring with a 14% probability. The expected goals for ES Tunis stand at 1.61, while Olympique Béja is projected to score 0.73.
In terms of recent form, ES Tunis has recorded two wins, one loss, and one win in their last five matches, while Olympique Béja has drawn twice and lost three times in the same period. Historically, ES Tunis has a strong advantage in their head-to-head encounters, winning both of their last two matches against Olympique Béja. The probabilities suggest a competitive match, although ES Tunis appears to have the upper hand.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ES Tunis and Olympique Béja expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.33
ES Tunis and Olympique Béja attack and defence ratings
ES Tunis
Olympique Béja
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- CA Bizertin v US Monastirienne — match page
- US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain — team news & stats
- Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Sfaxien
- ES Metlaoui v Stade Tunisien — match page
- ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse — team news & stats
- ES Sahel vs CS Hammam-Lif
- Jeunesse Sportive Omrane v AS Marsa — match page
Before and after this match
ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ES Tunis | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ES Tunis | 57.3% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Olympique Béja | 15.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.4% |
| No | 57.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | ES Tunis win | 31.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.5% | |
| Loss | 42.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.4% |
| 2-0 | 12.5% | |
| 1-1 | 12.5% |
ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja stats
ES Tunis and Olympique Béja recent form
| ES Tunis |
WWLWWL |
| Olympique Béja |
DDLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Olympique Béja | ES Tunis | Tunisia Ligue 1 | 0-3 |
| 2025-09-24 | ES Tunis | Olympique Béja | Tunisia Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-11 | Olympique Béja | ES Tunis | Ligue 1 | 0-5 |
| 2025-01-22 | ES Tunis | Olympique Béja | Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
| 2023-06-07 | ES Tunis | Olympique Béja | Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
| 2023-05-28 | ES Tunis | Olympique Béja | Cup | 0-1 |
| 2023-04-16 | Olympique Béja | ES Tunis | Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
| 2021-04-07 | ES Tunis | Olympique Béja | Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2021-01-26 | Olympique Béja | ES Tunis | Ligue 1 | 1-4 |
| 2016-12-04 | ES Tunis | Olympique Béja | Ligue 1 | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.