Olympique Béja
vs
ES Sahel
Garuda Lions Prediction: ES Sahel
0 – 1 Predicted score · 7% model probability
Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel
| Probability | Olympique Béja | Draw | ES Sahel |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.1% | 28.7% | 25.1% |
| Market | 22.1% | 30.9% | 46.9% |
| Final | 28.1% | 30.4% | 41.5% |
| Edge | +24.0% | -2.2% | -21.8% |
Why ES Sahel
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.95, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel match preview
Olympique Béja faces ES Sahel in a Tunisia Ligue 1 matchup, with the model indicating a 46% probability of a home win for Béja, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 25% likelihood of an away victory for Sahel. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with an 11% probability. Expected goals suggest Olympique Béja will score 1.47, while ES Sahel is projected at 1.02.
Recent form shows Olympique Béja struggling with a record of L-D-D-L-L-D, while ES Sahel has a slightly better performance at L-L-D-W-L-L. In their last two head-to-head encounters, Olympique Béja has secured two wins, with ES Sahel yet to register a victory. The model estimates a 45% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 50% probability for both teams to score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Olympique Béja and ES Sahel expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.49
Olympique Béja and ES Sahel attack and defence ratings
Olympique Béja
ES Sahel
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Ben Guerdane — team news & stats
- US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer — team news & stats
- CS Hammam-Lif vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
- AS Marsa v ES Metlaoui — match page
- CS Sfaxien vs ES Tunis — team news & stats
- Club Africain vs CA Bizertin
- Stade Tunisien v ES Zarzis — match page
Before and after this match
Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ES Sahel | 41.5% | 2.41 | -21.8% | 1.95 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olympique Béja | 28.1% |
| Draw | 30.4% | |
| ES Sahel | 41.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% |
| No | 49.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | ES Sahel win | 9.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.4% | |
| Loss | 74.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 10.9% | |
| 0-0 | 9.5% |
Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel stats
Olympique Béja and ES Sahel recent form
| Olympique Béja |
LDDLLD |
| ES Sahel |
LLDWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Olympique Béja and ES Sahel season so far
Olympique Béja record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
ES Sahel record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Olympique Béja | ES Sahel | Tunisia Ligue 1 | 3-1 |
| 2025-10-22 | ES Sahel | Olympique Béja | Tunisia Ligue 1 | 1-2 |
| 2025-01-18 | Olympique Béja | ES Sahel | Ligue 1 | 0-2 |
| 2024-08-31 | ES Sahel | Olympique Béja | Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
| 2023-10-28 | ES Sahel | Olympique Béja | Ligue 1 | 0-0 |
| 2023-08-23 | Olympique Béja | ES Sahel | Ligue 1 | 2-1 |
| 2023-06-30 | ES Sahel | Olympique Béja | Ligue 1 | 5-0 |
| 2023-05-20 | Olympique Béja | ES Sahel | Ligue 1 | 0-0 |
| 2022-04-13 | ES Sahel | Olympique Béja | Ligue 1 | 2-2 |
| 2021-11-22 | Olympique Béja | ES Sahel | Ligue 1 | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 22.1%, draw 30.9%, away 46.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.11 | 2.90 | 1.92 |
| Bet365 | 4.10 | 3.00 | 1.85 |
| BetVictor | 3.60 | 2.75 | 1.80 |
| Marathonbet | 3.98 | 2.90 | 1.90 |
| Pinnacle | 4.28 | 2.94 | 1.93 |
| William Hill | 4.00 | 2.80 | 1.95 |