Tunisia Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 6

Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel

1 – 2 Full time

8′Y. Azib
9′O. Abid
19′A. Ben Dhiaf
35′I. Ogoulola
41′O. Diakhate
45′M. Hedhli
62′E. H. GafsiO. Sayari
67′I. OgoulolaF. Ben Hssine
74′A. Ben DhiafA. Amri
81′M. Ben RajehM. H. Hadouchi
82′ES Sahel
87′A. Sidibe
90′A. Sidibe
90′A. Sidibe
90′Olympique Béja

Boujemaa Kmiti Stadium

Olympique Béja 31%
Draw 31%
ES Sahel 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOlympique BéjaDrawES Sahel
Model46.1%28.7%25.1%
Market25.9%31.7%42.4%
Final31.0%31.0%38.0%
Edge+5.1%-0.7%-4.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why ES Sahel

  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Olympique Béja ↓ / ES Sahel → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 7% 1 11% 14% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Olympique Béja and ES Sahel expected goals

Olympique Béja 1.47
ES Sahel 1.02

Total expected goals: 2.49

Olympique Béja and ES Sahel attack and defence ratings

Olympique Béja

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.44 +44%

ES Sahel

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 1.44 +44%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel: result vs prediction

Olympique Béja 1 – 2 ES Sahel

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Tunisia Ligue 1

Before and after this match

Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 ES Sahel 38.0% 2.63 -4.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.6% 1.83 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.6% 1.98 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 69.0% 1.45 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 74.9% 1.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Olympique Béja31.0%
Draw31.0%
ES Sahel38.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.4%
Under 2.554.6%
Both teams to scoreYes50.6%
No49.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.0%
12 (either side)69.0%
X2 (draw or away)69.0%
Handicap -1ES Sahel win9.7%
Push (exactly one goal)15.4%
Loss74.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.7%
1-010.9%
0-09.5%

Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel stats

Olympique Béja and ES Sahel recent form

newest first
Olympique Béja LDDLLD
ES Sahel LLDWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Olympique Béja and ES Sahel going into this match

league record before kick-off

Olympique Béja record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

ES Sahel record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Olympique Béja wins 4Draws 2ES Sahel wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-11Olympique BéjaES SahelTunisia Ligue 13-1
2025-10-22ES SahelOlympique BéjaTunisia Ligue 11-2
2025-01-18Olympique BéjaES SahelLigue 10-2
2024-08-31ES SahelOlympique BéjaLigue 10-1
2023-10-28ES SahelOlympique BéjaLigue 10-0
2023-08-23Olympique BéjaES SahelLigue 12-1
2023-06-30ES SahelOlympique BéjaLigue 15-0
2023-05-20Olympique BéjaES SahelLigue 10-0
2022-04-13ES SahelOlympique BéjaLigue 12-2
2021-11-22Olympique BéjaES SahelLigue 10-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 25.9%, draw 31.7%, away 42.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.58 2.81 2.11
Bet365 3.40 2.90 2.10
BetVictor 3.00 2.70 2.00
Marathonbet 3.48 2.81 2.09
Pinnacle 3.48 2.81 2.23
William Hill 3.30 2.80 2.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.44 ▼ -0.61
X 2.81 ▼ -0.09
2 2.10 ▲ +0.20

2 snapshots recorded, from .