AS Marsa
vs
ES Metlaoui
3 – 0 Full time
| 2′ | AS Marsa | ||
| 11′ | A. Ghrissi | ||
| 38′ | F. Iffia | ||
| 45′ | N. Mani | ||
| 71′ | F. IffiaA. Ben Hamida | ||
| 74′ | M. BelghithM. Bouzaabya | ||
| 82′ | N. ManiY. Dao | ||
| 84′ | A. Traidi | ||
| 90′ | K. KhalfaK. Maacha |
AS Marsa vs ES Metlaoui overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AS Marsa vs ES Metlaoui
| Probability | AS Marsa | Draw | ES Metlaoui |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.7% | 39.2% | 22.0% |
| Market | 46.2% | 31.4% | 22.4% |
| Final | 44.3% | 33.4% | 22.3% |
| Edge | -1.9% | +2.0% | -0.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AS Marsa and ES Metlaoui expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.45
AS Marsa and ES Metlaoui attack and defence ratings
AS Marsa
ES Metlaoui
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AS Marsa vs ES Metlaoui: result vs prediction
AS Marsa 3 – 0 ES Metlaoui
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
AS Marsa vs ES Metlaoui markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Marsa | 44.3% | 2.26 | -1.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Marsa | 44.3% |
| Draw | 33.4% | |
| ES Metlaoui | 22.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 17.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 82.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 26.9% |
| No | 73.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | AS Marsa win | 14.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 61.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 24.6% |
| 1-0 | 19.1% | |
| 1-1 | 13.1% |
AS Marsa vs ES Metlaoui stats
AS Marsa and ES Metlaoui recent form
| AS Marsa |
DWLDLD |
| ES Metlaoui |
LLWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AS Marsa and ES Metlaoui going into this match
AS Marsa record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
ES Metlaoui record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
AS Marsa vs ES Metlaoui head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | ES Metlaoui | AS Marsa | Tunisia Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-19 | AS Marsa | ES Metlaoui | Tunisia Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
| 2024-05-12 | AS Marsa | ES Metlaoui | Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2024-02-18 | ES Metlaoui | AS Marsa | Ligue 1 | 3-1 |
| 2024-01-03 | ES Metlaoui | AS Marsa | Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
| 2023-10-22 | AS Marsa | ES Metlaoui | Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AS Marsa vs ES Metlaoui odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.2%, draw 31.4%, away 22.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.94 | 2.85 | 4.12 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 2.90 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 2.85 | 4.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97 | 2.98 | 4.00 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 2.75 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .