AS Marsa
vs
CS Hammam-Lif
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 30% model probability
AS Marsa vs CS Hammam-Lif overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AS Marsa vs CS Hammam-Lif
| Probability | AS Marsa | Draw | CS Hammam-Lif |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.7% | 42.3% | 20.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 37.7% | 42.3% | 20.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
AS Marsa vs CS Hammam-Lif match preview
AS Marsa faces CS Hammam-Lif in the Tunisia Ligue 1, with a kickoff scheduled for October 24, 2026. According to our model, AS Marsa has a 38% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 42% and CS Hammam-Lif at 20%. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 0-0, occurring with a 30% likelihood. Expected goals for AS Marsa are 0.77, compared to 0.49 for CS Hammam-Lif.
In terms of recent form, AS Marsa has recorded a series of results including draws and a win, while CS Hammam-Lif has struggled, losing four out of their last five matches. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is only at 13%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 22%. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AS Marsa and CS Hammam-Lif expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.25
AS Marsa and CS Hammam-Lif attack and defence ratings
AS Marsa
CS Hammam-Lif
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- ES Tunis v US Monastirienne — match page
- CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse — team news & stats
- ES Metlaoui vs ES Zarzis
- US Ben Guerdane v Stade Tunisien — match page
- ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien — team news & stats
- Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer v Club Africain — match page
- Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs Olympique Béja — team news & stats
Before and after this match
AS Marsa vs CS Hammam-Lif markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Marsa | 37.7% |
| Draw | 42.3% | |
| CS Hammam-Lif | 20.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 13.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 86.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 21.7% |
| No | 78.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 57.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | AS Marsa win | 12.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.2% | |
| Loss | 62.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 29.6% |
| 1-0 | 20.9% | |
| 0-1 | 12.8% |
AS Marsa vs CS Hammam-Lif stats
AS Marsa and CS Hammam-Lif recent form
| AS Marsa |
DWLDLD |
| CS Hammam-Lif |
WLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AS Marsa and CS Hammam-Lif season so far
AS Marsa record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
CS Hammam-Lif record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.