CS Hammam-Lif
vs
ES Metlaoui
Garuda Lions Prediction: CS Hammam-Lif
1 – 0 Predicted score · 19% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.93 vs 0.60.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Metlaoui overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Metlaoui
| Probability | CS Hammam-Lif | Draw | ES Metlaoui |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.7% | 38.0% | 21.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 40.7% | 38.0% | 21.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why CS Hammam-Lif
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.93 vs 0.60.
CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Metlaoui match preview
CS Hammam-Lif faces ES Metlaoui in a Tunisia Ligue 1 match with kickoff set for November 20, 2026. According to our model, CS Hammam-Lif has a 41% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 38% and ES Metlaoui at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of CS Hammam-Lif, with a 19% likelihood. Expected goals for CS Hammam-Lif are 0.93, compared to 0.60 for ES Metlaoui.
In terms of recent form, CS Hammam-Lif has recorded two draws, a win, and three losses in their last six matches. Meanwhile, ES Metlaoui has experienced a mix of results with two wins and four losses in their last six games. The probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 20%, while both teams to score stands at 28%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CS Hammam-Lif and ES Metlaoui expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.53
CS Hammam-Lif and ES Metlaoui attack and defence ratings
CS Hammam-Lif
ES Metlaoui
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Metlaoui markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Hammam-Lif | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Hammam-Lif | 40.7% |
| Draw | 38.0% | |
| ES Metlaoui | 21.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 19.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 80.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 28.4% |
| No | 71.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 62.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | CS Hammam-Lif win | 15.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.2% | |
| Loss | 59.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 22.9% |
| 1-0 | 19.0% | |
| 1-1 | 13.3% |
CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Metlaoui stats
CS Hammam-Lif and ES Metlaoui recent form
| CS Hammam-Lif |
DDWLLL |
| ES Metlaoui |
WLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CS Hammam-Lif and ES Metlaoui season so far
CS Hammam-Lif record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
ES Metlaoui record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.