ES Metlaoui
vs
ES Zarzis
Garuda Lions Prediction: ES Zarzis
0 – 1 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
ES Metlaoui vs ES Zarzis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ES Metlaoui vs ES Zarzis
| Probability | ES Metlaoui | Draw | ES Zarzis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.7% | 33.0% | 38.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 28.7% | 33.0% | 38.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
ES Metlaoui vs ES Zarzis match preview
In the upcoming match between ES Metlaoui and ES Zarzis, the probabilities suggest a competitive encounter, with ES Zarzis having a slight edge at 38%, compared to 29% for ES Metlaoui and a 33% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring with a probability of 13%. The expected goals for ES Metlaoui stand at 0.92, while ES Zarzis is projected at 1.11.
Recent form indicates struggles for both teams, with ES Metlaoui losing three of their last five matches and ES Zarzis managing only one win in their last five outings. Historically, the head-to-head record shows a balanced competition, with ES Metlaoui securing 4 wins, ES Zarzis 3, and 3 matches ending in a draw. The confidence grade for this match is rated C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ES Metlaoui and ES Zarzis expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.03
ES Metlaoui and ES Zarzis attack and defence ratings
ES Metlaoui
ES Zarzis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse — team news & stats
- US Ben Guerdane v Stade Tunisien — match page
- AS Marsa vs CS Hammam-Lif
- Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs Olympique Béja — team news & stats
- ES Tunis v US Monastirienne — match page
- ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien — team news & stats
- Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer v Club Africain — match page
Before and after this match
ES Metlaoui vs ES Zarzis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ES Zarzis | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ES Metlaoui | 28.7% |
| Draw | 33.0% | |
| ES Zarzis | 38.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.8% |
| No | 58.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | ES Zarzis win | 16.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 61.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 14.4% | |
| 0-1 | 13.2% |
ES Metlaoui vs ES Zarzis stats
ES Metlaoui and ES Zarzis recent form
| ES Metlaoui |
LLLWLL |
| ES Zarzis |
LDLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
ES Metlaoui and ES Zarzis season so far
ES Metlaoui record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
ES Zarzis record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
ES Metlaoui vs ES Zarzis head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | ES Zarzis | ES Metlaoui | Tunisia Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-09 | ES Metlaoui | ES Zarzis | Tunisia Ligue 1 | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-06 | ES Metlaoui | ES Zarzis | Cup | 0-2 |
| 2025-02-09 | ES Metlaoui | ES Zarzis | Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-29 | ES Zarzis | ES Metlaoui | Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2022-05-26 | ES Metlaoui | ES Zarzis | Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2022-05-14 | ES Zarzis | ES Metlaoui | Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
| 2018-04-01 | ES Metlaoui | ES Zarzis | Ligue 1 | 2-2 |
| 2017-11-04 | ES Zarzis | ES Metlaoui | Ligue 1 | 1-3 |
| 2016-02-28 | ES Zarzis | ES Metlaoui | Ligue 1 | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.