ES Metlaoui
vs
ES Zarzis
Garuda Lions Prediction: ES Zarzis
0 – 1 Predicted score · 16% model probability
ES Metlaoui vs ES Zarzis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ES Metlaoui vs ES Zarzis
| Probability | ES Metlaoui | Draw | ES Zarzis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.7% | 36.0% | 37.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 26.7% | 36.0% | 37.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why ES Zarzis
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
ES Metlaoui vs ES Zarzis match preview
In the upcoming match between ES Metlaoui and ES Zarzis, the probabilities indicate a closely contested encounter, with ES Zarzis slightly favored at 37% compared to ES Metlaoui's 27%. The likelihood of a draw stands at 36%. The most probable scoreline predicted is 0-1 in favor of ES Zarzis, occurring with a 16% chance.
Both teams have struggled for form recently, with ES Metlaoui recording two losses followed by a draw, while ES Zarzis has alternated between wins and losses. Expected goals suggest a tight match, with ES Metlaoui at 0.77 and ES Zarzis at 0.96. Additionally, there is a 25% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% probability that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ES Metlaoui and ES Zarzis expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.74
ES Metlaoui and ES Zarzis attack and defence ratings
ES Metlaoui
ES Zarzis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- ES Tunis v US Monastirienne — match page
- CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse — team news & stats
- US Ben Guerdane v Stade Tunisien — match page
- ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien — team news & stats
- AS Marsa vs CS Hammam-Lif
- Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer v Club Africain — match page
- Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs Olympique Béja — team news & stats
Before and after this match
ES Metlaoui vs ES Zarzis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ES Zarzis | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ES Metlaoui | 26.7% |
| Draw | 36.0% | |
| ES Zarzis | 37.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 74.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34.6% |
| No | 65.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 64.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | ES Zarzis win | 14.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 62.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 18.9% |
| 0-1 | 15.7% | |
| 1-1 | 14.4% |
ES Metlaoui vs ES Zarzis stats
ES Metlaoui and ES Zarzis recent form
| ES Metlaoui |
LLWLLD |
| ES Zarzis |
WLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
ES Metlaoui and ES Zarzis season so far
ES Metlaoui record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
ES Metlaoui vs ES Zarzis head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | ES Zarzis | ES Metlaoui | Tunisia Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-09 | ES Metlaoui | ES Zarzis | Tunisia Ligue 1 | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.