ES Sahel
vs
CS Sfaxien
Garuda Lions Prediction: CS Sfaxien
0 – 1 Predicted score · 15% model probability
ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien
| Probability | ES Sahel | Draw | CS Sfaxien |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.9% | 29.2% | 52.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 17.9% | 29.2% | 52.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why CS Sfaxien
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien match preview
In the upcoming match between ES Sahel and CS Sfaxien, the probabilities indicate a stronger likelihood for CS Sfaxien, with a 53% chance of winning compared to ES Sahel's 18%. The model suggests a draw at 29%. The expected goals for ES Sahel stand at 0.74, while CS Sfaxien is projected to score 1.45. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring with a 15% probability.
Recent form shows ES Sahel struggling with two losses and a draw in their last five matches, while CS Sfaxien has shown better consistency, winning three of their last five. In their last two head-to-head encounters, CS Sfaxien has secured victory on both occasions, indicating a trend that could influence the upcoming match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ES Sahel and CS Sfaxien expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.20
ES Sahel and CS Sfaxien attack and defence ratings
ES Sahel
CS Sfaxien
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- ES Tunis v US Monastirienne — match page
- CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse — team news & stats
- ES Metlaoui vs ES Zarzis
- US Ben Guerdane v Stade Tunisien — match page
- AS Marsa vs CS Hammam-Lif
- Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer v Club Africain — match page
- Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs Olympique Béja — team news & stats
Before and after this match
ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Sfaxien | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ES Sahel | 17.9% |
| Draw | 29.2% | |
| CS Sfaxien | 52.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.4% |
| No | 58.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | CS Sfaxien win | 27.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.4% | |
| Loss | 47.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 15.0% |
| 1-1 | 13.2% | |
| 0-0 | 12.3% |
ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien stats
ES Sahel and CS Sfaxien recent form
| ES Sahel |
LLDWLL |
| CS Sfaxien |
LWDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
ES Sahel and CS Sfaxien season so far
ES Sahel record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | CS Sfaxien | ES Sahel | Tunisia Ligue 1 | 3-1 |
| 2025-11-23 | ES Sahel | CS Sfaxien | Tunisia Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.