Tunisia Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 6

CS Sfaxien vs ES Tunis

0 – 0 Full time

36′M. S. Mhadhebi
46′E. OgboleT. Mutyaba
46′L. TrayiW. Dhouib
53′M. BelhadjY. Belaili
60′H. RafiaM. Haj Ali
60′M. S. MhadhebiY. Habchia
66′J. Castillo
78′I. FarajF. Monyebe
78′H. MastouriA. Jabri
84′A. Maaloul
86′R. Chikhaoui
CS Sfaxien 33%
Draw 33%
ES Tunis 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

CS Sfaxien vs ES Tunis overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CS Sfaxien vs ES Tunis

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCS SfaxienDrawES Tunis
Model53.4%30.2%16.4%
Market26.7%34.1%39.2%
Final33.4%33.1%33.5%
Edge+6.7%-1.0%-5.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why ES Tunis

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CS Sfaxien ↓ / ES Tunis → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 1 17% 13% 2 13% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 61%
3+ goals 33%
No goals 14%

CS Sfaxien and ES Tunis expected goals

CS Sfaxien 1.38
ES Tunis 0.65

Total expected goals: 2.02

CS Sfaxien and ES Tunis attack and defence ratings

CS Sfaxien

Attack 1.31 +31%
Defence 0.72 -28%

ES Tunis

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

CS Sfaxien vs ES Tunis: result vs prediction

CS Sfaxien 0 – 0 ES Tunis

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Tunisia Ligue 1

Before and after this match

CS Sfaxien vs ES Tunis markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 ES Tunis 33.5% 2.98 -5.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 67.0% 1.49 — —
Both teams to score No 63.2% 1.58 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 66.9% 1.49 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 83.6% 1.20 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CS Sfaxien33.4%
Draw33.1%
ES Tunis33.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.533.0%
Under 2.567.0%
Both teams to scoreYes36.8%
No63.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.5%
12 (either side)66.9%
X2 (draw or away)66.6%
Handicap -1ES Tunis win4.6%
Push (exactly one goal)11.8%
Loss83.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-017.0%
0-014.4%
1-113.0%

CS Sfaxien vs ES Tunis stats

CS Sfaxien and ES Tunis recent form

newest first
CS Sfaxien WDLWDW
ES Tunis WLWWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CS Sfaxien and ES Tunis going into this match

league record before kick-off

CS Sfaxien record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

ES Tunis record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.

CS Sfaxien vs ES Tunis head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

0CS Sfaxien wins 4Draws 5ES Tunis wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-30ES TunisCS SfaxienTunisia Ligue 10-0
2025-11-02CS SfaxienES TunisTunisia Ligue 11-2
2025-05-03ES TunisCS SfaxienLigue 11-0
2024-12-29CS SfaxienES TunisLigue 10-1
2024-06-20CS SfaxienES TunisLigue 10-0
2024-05-01ES TunisCS SfaxienLigue 11-1
2023-12-27ES TunisCS SfaxienLigue 11-0
2023-09-24CS SfaxienES TunisLigue 10-1
2023-08-02ES TunisCS SfaxienArab Club Champions Cup0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CS Sfaxien vs ES Tunis odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 26.7%, draw 34.1%, away 39.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.48 2.65 2.25
Bet365 3.10 2.75 2.30
BetVictor 3.00 2.50 2.15
Betano 3.45 2.70 2.37
Betfair 3.30 2.75 2.30
Dafabet 3.40 2.85 2.30
Marathonbet 3.38 2.65 2.23
Pinnacle 3.42 2.62 2.40
William Hill 3.30 2.62 2.30

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.