CS Sfaxien
vs
ES Tunis
Garuda Lions Prediction: CS Sfaxien
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
CS Sfaxien vs ES Tunis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CS Sfaxien vs ES Tunis
| Probability | CS Sfaxien | Draw | ES Tunis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.8% | 26.7% | 15.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 57.8% | 26.7% | 15.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why CS Sfaxien
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 0.74.
CS Sfaxien vs ES Tunis match preview
CS Sfaxien faces ES Tunis in the Tunisia Ligue 1 on October 29, 2026. According to our model, CS Sfaxien has a 58% probability of winning, while a draw is at 27% and ES Tunis at 15%. The expected goals for CS Sfaxien stand at 1.65, compared to 0.73 for ES Tunis, suggesting a stronger offensive performance from the home side. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0, occurring with a 14% probability.
Recent form shows CS Sfaxien with a mixed record of L-W-D-W-L-W, while ES Tunis has been more consistent with W-W-W-L-W-W. In their last two encounters, CS Sfaxien has not secured a win, recording 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss against ES Tunis. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 42%, and both teams to score is at 43%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CS Sfaxien and ES Tunis expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.38
CS Sfaxien and ES Tunis attack and defence ratings
CS Sfaxien
ES Tunis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
CS Sfaxien vs ES Tunis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Sfaxien | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Sfaxien | 57.8% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| ES Tunis | 15.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.1% |
| No | 56.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | CS Sfaxien win | 32.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.4% | |
| Loss | 42.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.1% |
| 2-0 | 12.5% | |
| 1-1 | 12.4% |
CS Sfaxien vs ES Tunis stats
CS Sfaxien and ES Tunis recent form
| CS Sfaxien |
LWDWLW |
| ES Tunis |
WWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CS Sfaxien vs ES Tunis head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | ES Tunis | CS Sfaxien | Tunisia Ligue 1 | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-02 | CS Sfaxien | ES Tunis | Tunisia Ligue 1 | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.