CS Sfaxien
vs
AFAD
1 – 0 Full time
| 7′ | I. Belwafi |
CS Sfaxien vs AFAD overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CS Sfaxien vs AFAD
| Probability | CS Sfaxien | Draw | AFAD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.9% | 24.2% | 13.0% |
| Market | 68.7% | 22.1% | 9.2% |
| Final | 67.3% | 22.6% | 10.1% |
| Edge | -1.5% | +0.5% | +0.9% |
Why CS Sfaxien
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 0.71.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CS Sfaxien and AFAD expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.53
CS Sfaxien and AFAD attack and defence ratings
CS Sfaxien
AFAD
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
CS Sfaxien vs AFAD: result vs prediction
CS Sfaxien 1 – 0 AFAD
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- Welwalo Adigrat Uni v Al Ahli Tripoli — match page
- Masr v Azam — match page
- Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs — team news & stats
- Kitara vs Al Ahly — team news & stats
- ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako — team news & stats
- AFAD vs CS Sfaxien — team news & stats
- Rayon Sports vs Black Bulls Maputo
- Korhogo v FAR Rabat — match page
Before and after this match
CS Sfaxien vs AFAD markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Sfaxien | 67.3% | 1.49 | -1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.3% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | CS Sfaxien win | 37.8% | 2.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Sfaxien | 67.3% |
| Draw | 22.6% | |
| AFAD | 10.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.7% |
| No | 56.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | CS Sfaxien win | 37.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.1% | |
| Loss | 37.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.5% |
| 2-0 | 13.2% | |
| 1-1 | 11.3% |
CS Sfaxien vs AFAD stats
CS Sfaxien and AFAD recent form
| CS Sfaxien |
DLWDWL |
| AFAD |
DDDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CS Sfaxien vs AFAD head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | AFAD | CS Sfaxien | CAF Confederation Cup | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CS Sfaxien vs AFAD odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 68.7%, draw 22.1%, away 9.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.30 | 4.15 | 10.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 3.90 | 10.00 |
| Betano | 1.34 | 3.90 | 9.25 |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 4.33 | 9.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.33 | 4.40 | 11.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.29 | 4.15 | 9.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31 | 3.98 | 9.03 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 3.80 | 10.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .