Kitara
vs
Al Ahly
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kitara
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Kitara vs Al Ahly overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kitara vs Al Ahly
| Probability | Kitara | Draw | Al Ahly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.3% | 31.8% | 28.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 39.3% | 31.8% | 28.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Kitara vs Al Ahly match preview
In the upcoming CAF Confederation Cup match, Kitara faces Al Ahly with a kickoff scheduled for October 17, 2026. According to our model, Kitara has a 39% probability of winning, while Al Ahly stands at 29%, and a draw is projected at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Kitara, with a 12% probability. The expected goals for Kitara are 1.19, while Al Ahly is at 0.98.
Both teams have shown solid recent form, with Kitara recording a sequence of W-D-W-W-D-D, and Al Ahly on a strong run of W-D-W-W-W-W. The model indicates a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% likelihood that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kitara and Al Ahly expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.17
Kitara and Al Ahly attack and defence ratings
Kitara
Al Ahly
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
Before and after this match
Kitara vs Al Ahly markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kitara | 39.3% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.1% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kitara | 39.3% |
| Draw | 31.8% | |
| Al Ahly | 28.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.8% |
| No | 55.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kitara win | 17.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 60.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 12.8% | |
| 1-0 | 12.2% |