CAF Confederation Cup
·
Full time
·2nd Preliminary Round
Kitara
vs
Al Ahly
1 – 2 Full time
| 30′ | G. Wahab | ||
| 67′ | O. El Saaiy | ||
| 82′ | Zizo |
Kitara
19%
Draw
27%
Al Ahly
54%
Kitara vs Al Ahly overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kitara vs Al Ahly
| Probability | Kitara | Draw | Al Ahly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.0% | 32.6% | 32.4% |
| Market | 13.6% | 24.8% | 61.6% |
| Final | 19.0% | 26.7% | 54.3% |
| Edge | +5.3% | +1.9% | -7.3% |
Why Al Ahly
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
64%
3+ goals
35%
No goals
13%
Kitara and Al Ahly expected goals
Kitara
1.08
Al Ahly
1.03
Total expected goals: 2.11
Kitara and Al Ahly attack and defence ratings
Kitara
Attack
1.12 +12%
Defence
0.80 -20%
Al Ahly
Attack
1.38 +38%
Defence
0.68 -32%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kitara vs Al Ahly: result vs prediction
Kitara 1 – 2 Al Ahly
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- Welwalo Adigrat Uni v Al Ahli Tripoli — match page
- Masr v Azam — match page
- Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs — team news & stats
- ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako — team news & stats
- AFAD vs CS Sfaxien — team news & stats
- Rayon Sports vs Black Bulls Maputo
- Korhogo v FAR Rabat — match page
- AC Douane vs CR Belouizdad
Before and after this match
Kitara vs Al Ahly markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Ahly | 54.3% | 1.84 | -7.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kitara | 19.0% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Al Ahly | 54.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.8% |
| No | 56.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 45.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Ahly win | 12.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 67.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.5% | |
| 1-0 | 11.8% |
Kitara vs Al Ahly stats
Kitara vs Al Ahly head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Kitara vs Al Ahly odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 13.6%, draw 24.8%, away 61.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.15 | 3.58 | 1.45 |
| Bet365 | 6.50 | 3.70 | 1.44 |
| BetVictor | 5.50 | 3.30 | 1.40 |
| Betfair | 6.50 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| Dafabet | 6.40 | 3.65 | 1.56 |
| Marathonbet | 6.75 | 3.58 | 1.44 |
| William Hill | 6.50 | 3.40 | 1.44 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
6.50 —
X
3.58 ▼ -0.07
2
1.44 ▲ +0.02
3 snapshots recorded, from .