CAF Confederation Cup · Full time ·2nd Preliminary Round

Rayon Sports vs Black Bulls Maputo

0 – 2 Full time

54′Kadre
90′D. Muze
Rayon Sports 39%
Draw 34%
Black Bulls Maputo 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Rayon Sports vs Black Bulls Maputo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rayon Sports vs Black Bulls Maputo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRayon SportsDrawBlack Bulls Maputo
Model33.4%41.7%24.9%
Market40.8%31.1%28.0%
Final39.0%33.8%27.2%
Edge-1.9%+2.7%-0.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rayon Sports ↓ / Black Bulls Ma → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 28% 15% 1 18% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 72%
2+ goals 39%
3+ goals 15%
No goals 28%

Rayon Sports and Black Bulls Maputo expected goals

Rayon Sports 0.73
Black Bulls Maputo 0.60

Total expected goals: 1.33

Rayon Sports and Black Bulls Maputo attack and defence ratings

Rayon Sports

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Black Bulls Maputo

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 0.69 -31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rayon Sports vs Black Bulls Maputo: result vs prediction

Rayon Sports 0 – 2 Black Bulls Maputo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

CAF Confederation Cup

Before and after this match

Rayon Sports vs Black Bulls Maputo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Rayon Sports 39.0% 2.57 -1.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 85.1% 1.17 — —
Both teams to score No 75.6% 1.32 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.8% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.9% 1.49 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rayon Sports39.0%
Draw33.8%
Black Bulls Maputo27.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.514.9%
Under 2.585.1%
Both teams to scoreYes24.4%
No75.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.8%
12 (either side)66.2%
X2 (draw or away)61.0%
Handicap -1Rayon Sports win10.4%
Push (exactly one goal)22.7%
Loss66.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-027.7%
1-018.3%
0-114.6%

Rayon Sports vs Black Bulls Maputo stats

Rayon Sports and Black Bulls Maputo recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Rayon Sports vs Black Bulls Maputo head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Rayon Sports vs Black Bulls Maputo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.9%, draw 31.1%, away 27.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.21 2.88 3.24
Bet365 2.15 3.00 3.20
Betfair 2.20 2.90 3.30
Dafabet 2.28 3.05 3.30
Marathonbet 2.19 2.88 3.14
William Hill 2.20 2.75 3.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.20 ▼ -0.01
X 2.88 ▼ -0.01
2 3.20 ▼ -0.04

3 snapshots recorded, from .