Red Arrows
vs
Kaizer Chiefs
1 – 0 Full time
| 77′ | A. Diarra |
Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs
| Probability | Red Arrows | Draw | Kaizer Chiefs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.6% | 31.6% | 12.8% |
| Market | 24.4% | 29.5% | 46.1% |
| Final | 32.2% | 30.0% | 37.8% |
| Edge | +7.8% | +0.5% | -8.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Red Arrows and Kaizer Chiefs expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.76
Red Arrows and Kaizer Chiefs attack and defence ratings
Red Arrows
Kaizer Chiefs
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs: result vs prediction
Red Arrows 1 – 0 Kaizer Chiefs
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
Before and after this match
Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kaizer Chiefs | 37.8% | 2.65 | -8.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Red Arrows | 32.2% |
| Draw | 30.0% | |
| Kaizer Chiefs | 37.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 74.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 28.5% |
| No | 71.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kaizer Chiefs win | 2.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 10.0% | |
| Loss | 87.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 21.0% |
| 0-0 | 18.3% | |
| 2-0 | 14.1% |
Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs stats
Red Arrows and Kaizer Chiefs recent form
| Red Arrows |
DWWWWD |
| Kaizer Chiefs |
DDDWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 24.5%, draw 29.3%, away 46.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.72 | 3.08 | 1.94 |
| Bet365 | 3.75 | 3.00 | 1.95 |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.95 | 3.15 | 2.01 |
| Marathonbet | 3.62 | 3.08 | 1.92 |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 2.90 | 1.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .