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Zambia Super League · Full time ·Matchday 2

Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers

0 – 0 Full time

Red Arrows 82%
Draw 15%
Mufulira Wanderers 3%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRed ArrowsDrawMufulira Wanderers
Model82.1%14.6%3.3%
Market———
Final82.1%14.6%3.3%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Red Arrows

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.33 vs 0.33.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Red Arrows ↓ / Mufulira Wande → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 16% 2 19% 3 15% 4+ 15%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Red Arrows and Mufulira Wanderers expected goals

Red Arrows 2.33
Mufulira Wanderers 0.33

Total expected goals: 2.65

Red Arrows and Mufulira Wanderers attack and defence ratings

Red Arrows

Attack 1.52 +52%
Defence 0.65 -35%

Mufulira Wanderers

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 1.46 +46%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers: result vs prediction

Red Arrows 0 – 0 Mufulira Wanderers

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Zambia Super League

Before and after this match

Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Red Arrows 82.1% 1.22 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.5% 1.98 — —
Both teams to score No 74.2% 1.35 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 96.7% 1.03 — —
Handicap -1 Red Arrows win 59.2% 1.69 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Red Arrows82.1%
Draw14.6%
Mufulira Wanderers3.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.5%
Under 2.550.5%
Both teams to scoreYes25.8%
No74.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)96.7%
12 (either side)85.4%
X2 (draw or away)17.9%
Handicap -1Red Arrows win59.2%
Push (exactly one goal)22.9%
Loss17.9%
Correct score (top 3)2-019.0%
1-015.8%
3-014.8%

Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers stats

Red Arrows and Mufulira Wanderers recent form

newest first
Red Arrows WWWWDW
Mufulira Wanderers LLDLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Red Arrows wins 5Draws 3Mufulira Wanderers wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-17Mufulira WanderersRed ArrowsZambia Super League0-0
2026-01-24Red ArrowsMufulira WanderersZambia Super League1-0
2025-04-02Mufulira WanderersRed ArrowsSuper League1-0
2024-11-27Red ArrowsMufulira WanderersSuper League1-1
2024-02-24Red ArrowsMufulira WanderersSuper League0-0
2023-09-23Mufulira WanderersRed ArrowsSuper League1-0
2019-04-06Mufulira WanderersRed ArrowsSuper League0-3
2019-02-02Red ArrowsMufulira WanderersSuper League1-1
2017-10-20Red ArrowsMufulira WanderersSuper League1-1
2017-06-17Mufulira WanderersRed ArrowsSuper League2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.