Red Arrows
vs
Mufulira Wanderers
Garuda Lions Prediction: Red Arrows
2 – 0 Predicted score · 19% model probability
Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers
| Probability | Red Arrows | Draw | Mufulira Wanderers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 82.1% | 14.6% | 3.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 82.1% | 14.6% | 3.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Red Arrows
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.33 vs 0.33.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers match preview
Red Arrows are heavily favored in their upcoming match against Mufulira Wanderers, with model probabilities indicating an 82% chance of victory. The expected goals for Red Arrows stand at 2.33, while Mufulira Wanderers are projected to score only 0.33. Recent form further supports this expectation, as Red Arrows have recorded four wins and a draw in their last six matches, while Mufulira Wanderers have struggled with one win in their last six, including four losses.
In their last two encounters, Red Arrows have secured one win and one draw against Mufulira Wanderers, who have yet to achieve a victory in this matchup. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 2-0 in favor of Red Arrows, with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 26% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Red Arrows and Mufulira Wanderers expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.65
Red Arrows and Mufulira Wanderers attack and defence ratings
Red Arrows
Mufulira Wanderers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
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- Nkana v Makeni All Stars — match page
- Nkwazi vs Chirundu Utd — team news & stats
- ZESCO United v Green Eagles — match page
- Roan United vs Green Buffaloes
- Trident v NAPSA Stars — match page
- Zanaco vs Konkola Blades — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Red Arrows | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 96.7% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Red Arrows win | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Red Arrows | 82.1% |
| Draw | 14.6% | |
| Mufulira Wanderers | 3.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 25.8% |
| No | 74.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 96.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 17.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Red Arrows win | 59.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 17.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 19.0% |
| 1-0 | 15.8% | |
| 3-0 | 14.8% |
Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers stats
Red Arrows and Mufulira Wanderers recent form
| Red Arrows |
WWWWDW |
| Mufulira Wanderers |
LLDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Mufulira Wanderers | Red Arrows | Zambia Super League | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Red Arrows | Mufulira Wanderers | Zambia Super League | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-02 | Mufulira Wanderers | Red Arrows | Super League | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-27 | Red Arrows | Mufulira Wanderers | Super League | 1-1 |
| 2024-02-24 | Red Arrows | Mufulira Wanderers | Super League | 0-0 |
| 2023-09-23 | Mufulira Wanderers | Red Arrows | Super League | 1-0 |
| 2019-04-06 | Mufulira Wanderers | Red Arrows | Super League | 0-3 |
| 2019-02-02 | Red Arrows | Mufulira Wanderers | Super League | 1-1 |
| 2017-10-20 | Red Arrows | Mufulira Wanderers | Super League | 1-1 |
| 2017-06-17 | Mufulira Wanderers | Red Arrows | Super League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.