ZESCO United
vs
Green Eagles
Garuda Lions Prediction: ZESCO United
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
ZESCO United vs Green Eagles overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ZESCO United vs Green Eagles
| Probability | ZESCO United | Draw | Green Eagles |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.1% | 27.8% | 19.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 53.1% | 27.8% | 19.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why ZESCO United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.56 vs 0.84.
ZESCO United vs Green Eagles match preview
ZESCO United faces Green Eagles in the Zambia Super League, with kickoff scheduled for October 10, 2026. According to model probabilities, ZESCO United has a 53% chance of winning, while a draw is at 28% and Green Eagles at 19%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of ZESCO United, with a 13% probability. Expected goals suggest ZESCO United will score 1.56, compared to Green Eagles' 0.84.
In terms of recent form, ZESCO United has recorded a draw, followed by three wins, and two losses. Conversely, Green Eagles have a mixed record with two wins and four losses in their last six matches. Historically, in their last two encounters, ZESCO United has yet to win, with one draw and one victory for Green Eagles.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ZESCO United and Green Eagles expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.40
ZESCO United and Green Eagles attack and defence ratings
ZESCO United
Green Eagles
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
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- Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Kansanshi Dynamos
- Nkana v Makeni All Stars — match page
- Nkwazi vs Chirundu Utd — team news & stats
- Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers
- Roan United vs Green Buffaloes
- Trident v NAPSA Stars — match page
- Zanaco vs Konkola Blades — team news & stats
Before and after this match
ZESCO United vs Green Eagles markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ZESCO United | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.0% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ZESCO United | 53.1% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Green Eagles | 19.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.1% |
| No | 53.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | ZESCO United win | 28.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.5% | |
| Loss | 46.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-0 | 12.9% | |
| 2-0 | 11.0% |
ZESCO United vs Green Eagles stats
ZESCO United and Green Eagles recent form
| ZESCO United |
DWWWLL |
| Green Eagles |
WLLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
ZESCO United vs Green Eagles head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | Green Eagles | ZESCO United | Zambia Super League | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-30 | ZESCO United | Green Eagles | Zambia Super League | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-26 | Green Eagles | ZESCO United | Super League | 0-1 |
| 2024-09-11 | ZESCO United | Green Eagles | Super League | 1-0 |
| 2024-03-02 | Green Eagles | ZESCO United | Super League | 1-1 |
| 2023-09-30 | ZESCO United | Green Eagles | Super League | 3-2 |
| 2023-02-05 | ZESCO United | Green Eagles | Super League | 3-0 |
| 2022-09-17 | Green Eagles | ZESCO United | Super League | 0-0 |
| 2022-03-24 | Green Eagles | ZESCO United | Super League | 0-0 |
| 2021-11-06 | ZESCO United | Green Eagles | Super League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.