Zambia Super League
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
ZESCO United
vs
Green Eagles
0 – 1 Full time
ZESCO United
53%
Draw
28%
Green Eagles
19%
ZESCO United vs Green Eagles overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ZESCO United vs Green Eagles
| Probability | ZESCO United | Draw | Green Eagles |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.1% | 27.8% | 19.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 53.1% | 27.8% | 19.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why ZESCO United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.56 vs 0.84.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
70%
3+ goals
43%
No goals
10%
ZESCO United and Green Eagles expected goals
ZESCO United
1.56
Green Eagles
0.84
Total expected goals: 2.40
ZESCO United and Green Eagles attack and defence ratings
ZESCO United
Attack
1.50 +50%
Defence
0.94 -6%
Green Eagles
Attack
1.26 +26%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
ZESCO United vs Green Eagles: result vs prediction
ZESCO United 0 – 1 Green Eagles
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
- Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars — team news & stats
- Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Kansanshi Dynamos
- Nkana v Makeni All Stars — match page
- Nkwazi vs Chirundu Utd — team news & stats
- Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers
- Roan United vs Green Buffaloes
- Trident v NAPSA Stars — match page
- Zanaco vs Konkola Blades — team news & stats
Before and after this match
ZESCO United vs Green Eagles markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ZESCO United | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.0% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ZESCO United | 53.1% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Green Eagles | 19.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.1% |
| No | 53.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | ZESCO United win | 28.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.5% | |
| Loss | 46.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-0 | 12.9% | |
| 2-0 | 11.0% |
ZESCO United vs Green Eagles stats
ZESCO United and Green Eagles recent form
| ZESCO United |
DWWWLL |
| Green Eagles |
WLLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
ZESCO United vs Green Eagles head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4ZESCO United wins
4Draws
2Green Eagles wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | Green Eagles | ZESCO United | Zambia Super League | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-30 | ZESCO United | Green Eagles | Zambia Super League | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-26 | Green Eagles | ZESCO United | Super League | 0-1 |
| 2024-09-11 | ZESCO United | Green Eagles | Super League | 1-0 |
| 2024-03-02 | Green Eagles | ZESCO United | Super League | 1-1 |
| 2023-09-30 | ZESCO United | Green Eagles | Super League | 3-2 |
| 2023-02-05 | ZESCO United | Green Eagles | Super League | 3-0 |
| 2022-09-17 | Green Eagles | ZESCO United | Super League | 0-0 |
| 2022-03-24 | Green Eagles | ZESCO United | Super League | 0-0 |
| 2021-11-06 | ZESCO United | Green Eagles | Super League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.