Zambia Super League · Full time ·Matchday 2

Roan United vs Green Buffaloes

0 – 0 Full time

Roan United 43%
Draw 32%
Green Buffaloes 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Roan United vs Green Buffaloes overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Roan United vs Green Buffaloes

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRoan UnitedDrawGreen Buffaloes
Model49.5%33.5%17.0%
Market40.4%32.1%27.4%
Final42.7%32.5%24.8%
Edge+2.3%+0.3%-2.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Roan United

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.18 vs 0.58.
  • The market prices Roan United below our published probability: +2.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Roan United ↓ / Green Buffaloe → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 18% 1 19% 13% 2 12% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 82%
2+ goals 54%
3+ goals 26%
No goals 18%

Roan United and Green Buffaloes expected goals

Roan United 1.18
Green Buffaloes 0.58

Total expected goals: 1.76

Roan United and Green Buffaloes attack and defence ratings

Roan United

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Green Buffaloes

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Roan United vs Green Buffaloes: result vs prediction

Roan United 0 – 0 Green Buffaloes

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Zambia Super League

Before and after this match

Roan United vs Green Buffaloes markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Roan United 42.7% 2.34 +2.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 74.1% 1.35 — —
Both teams to score No 68.3% 1.46 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.2% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.5% 1.98 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Roan United42.7%
Draw32.5%
Green Buffaloes24.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.525.9%
Under 2.574.1%
Both teams to scoreYes31.7%
No68.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.2%
12 (either side)67.5%
X2 (draw or away)57.3%
Handicap -1Roan United win22.6%
Push (exactly one goal)26.9%
Loss50.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-019.1%
0-018.4%
1-113.0%

Roan United vs Green Buffaloes stats

Roan United and Green Buffaloes recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Roan United vs Green Buffaloes head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1Roan United wins 3Draws 2Green Buffaloes wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2014-08-02Green BuffaloesRoan UnitedSuper League0-0
2014-04-05Roan UnitedGreen BuffaloesSuper League3-4
2013-11-02Green BuffaloesRoan UnitedSuper League1-2
2013-06-30Roan UnitedGreen BuffaloesSuper League0-1
2012-07-14Green BuffaloesRoan UnitedSuper League1-1
2012-03-25Roan UnitedGreen BuffaloesSuper League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Roan United vs Green Buffaloes odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.4%, draw 32.1%, away 27.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.22 2.84 3.27
Bet365 2.20 2.80 3.30
BetVictor 2.25 2.80 3.40
Betano 2.25 2.82 3.25
Dafabet 2.24 2.85 3.30

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.