Roan United
vs
Green Buffaloes
Garuda Lions Prediction: Roan United
1 – 0 Predicted score · 19% model probability
Roan United vs Green Buffaloes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Roan United vs Green Buffaloes
| Probability | Roan United | Draw | Green Buffaloes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.5% | 33.5% | 17.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 49.5% | 33.5% | 17.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Roan United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.18 vs 0.58.
Roan United vs Green Buffaloes match preview
Roan United will host Green Buffaloes in the Zambia Super League on October 10, 2026. Roan United has a 49% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 33% and Green Buffaloes at 17%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Roan United, with a 19% likelihood. The expected goals for Roan United is 1.18, compared to Green Buffaloes' 0.58.
In terms of recent form, Roan United comes off a win, while Green Buffaloes has a mixed record with two wins and three losses in their last six matches. The probabilities indicate a lower chance for over 2.5 goals at 26% and both teams to score at 32%. The confidence grade for this analysis is C, suggesting moderate uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Roan United and Green Buffaloes expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.76
Roan United and Green Buffaloes attack and defence ratings
Roan United
Green Buffaloes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
- Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars — team news & stats
- Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Kansanshi Dynamos
- Nkana v Makeni All Stars — match page
- Nkwazi vs Chirundu Utd — team news & stats
- Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers
- ZESCO United v Green Eagles — match page
- Trident v NAPSA Stars — match page
- Zanaco vs Konkola Blades — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Roan United vs Green Buffaloes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Roan United | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.0% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Roan United | 49.5% |
| Draw | 33.5% | |
| Green Buffaloes | 17.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 74.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31.7% |
| No | 68.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Roan United win | 22.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.9% | |
| Loss | 50.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 19.1% |
| 0-0 | 18.4% | |
| 1-1 | 13.0% |
Roan United vs Green Buffaloes stats
Roan United and Green Buffaloes recent form
| Roan United |
W |
| Green Buffaloes |
WLLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.
Roan United vs Green Buffaloes head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-08-02 | Green Buffaloes | Roan United | Super League | 0-0 |
| 2014-04-05 | Roan United | Green Buffaloes | Super League | 3-4 |
| 2013-11-02 | Green Buffaloes | Roan United | Super League | 1-2 |
| 2013-06-30 | Roan United | Green Buffaloes | Super League | 0-1 |
| 2012-07-14 | Green Buffaloes | Roan United | Super League | 1-1 |
| 2012-03-25 | Roan United | Green Buffaloes | Super League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.