Green Buffaloes
vs
Nkwazi
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 34% model probability
Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi
| Probability | Green Buffaloes | Draw | Nkwazi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.4% | 45.8% | 20.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 33.4% | 45.8% | 20.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi match preview
Green Buffaloes and Nkwazi are set to face off in the Zambia Super League on October 18, 2026. According to our model, Green Buffaloes have a 33% chance of winning, while Nkwazi's chances stand at 21%, with a draw being the most likely outcome at 46%. The expected goals for Green Buffaloes is 0.64, compared to Nkwazi's 0.45. The most probable scoreline is a 0-0 draw, with a likelihood of 34%.
In terms of recent form, Green Buffaloes have recorded a draw, a win, and two losses in their last six matches, while Nkwazi has had a draw, two losses, a win, and another draw in the same period. Historically, in their last two encounters, Green Buffaloes have one win and one draw against Nkwazi, who have yet to secure a victory in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Green Buffaloes and Nkwazi expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.10
Green Buffaloes and Nkwazi attack and defence ratings
Green Buffaloes
Nkwazi
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
- Green Eagles v Roan United — match page
- Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Makeni All Stars — team news & stats
- Red Arrows v Kabwe Warriors — match page
- Zanaco vs NAPSA Stars
- Nkana vs Nchanga Rangers
- ZESCO United vs Mufulira Wanderers — team news & stats
- Power Dynamos vs Trident
- Chirundu Utd v Mutondo Stars — match page
Before and after this match
Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 45.8% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Green Buffaloes | 33.4% |
| Draw | 45.8% | |
| Nkwazi | 20.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 9.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 90.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 18.3% |
| No | 81.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 54.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Green Buffaloes win | 9.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 66.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 34.3% |
| 1-0 | 20.6% | |
| 0-1 | 14.1% |
Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi stats
Green Buffaloes and Nkwazi recent form
| Green Buffaloes |
DWLLWL |
| Nkwazi |
DLLWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Green Buffaloes | Nkwazi | Zambia Super League | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Nkwazi | Green Buffaloes | Zambia Super League | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-02 | Nkwazi | Green Buffaloes | Super League | 2-0 |
| 2024-11-27 | Green Buffaloes | Nkwazi | Super League | 1-2 |
| 2024-02-17 | Nkwazi | Green Buffaloes | Super League | 2-1 |
| 2023-09-16 | Green Buffaloes | Nkwazi | Super League | 0-0 |
| 2023-02-25 | Nkwazi | Green Buffaloes | Super League | 0-2 |
| 2022-10-15 | Green Buffaloes | Nkwazi | Super League | 3-3 |
| 2022-01-16 | Green Buffaloes | Nkwazi | Super League | 0-1 |
| 2021-09-18 | Nkwazi | Green Buffaloes | Super League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.