Zambia Super League
·
Full time
·Matchday 4
Man Utd Zambia Academy
vs
Makeni All Stars
1 – 0 Full time
Man Utd Zambia Academy
71%
Draw
19%
Makeni All Stars
9%
Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Makeni All Stars overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Makeni All Stars
| Probability | Man Utd Zambia Academy | Draw | Makeni All Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71.5% | 19.2% | 9.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 71.5% | 19.2% | 9.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Man Utd Zambia Academy
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.23 vs 0.70.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
56%
No goals
6%
Man Utd Zambia Academy and Makeni All Stars expected goals
Man Utd Zambia Academy
2.23
Makeni All Stars
0.70
Total expected goals: 2.93
Man Utd Zambia Academy and Makeni All Stars attack and defence ratings
Man Utd Zambia Academy
Attack
1.51 +51%
Defence
1.11 +11%
Makeni All Stars
Attack
0.88 -12%
Defence
1.39 +39%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Makeni All Stars: result vs prediction
Man Utd Zambia Academy 1 – 0 Makeni All Stars
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
- Green Eagles v Roan United — match page
- Red Arrows v Kabwe Warriors — match page
- Zanaco vs NAPSA Stars
- Kansanshi Dynamos v Konkola Blades — match page
- Nkana vs Nchanga Rangers
- ZESCO United vs Mufulira Wanderers — team news & stats
- Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi — team news & stats
- Power Dynamos vs Trident
Before and after this match
Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Makeni All Stars markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Man Utd Zambia Academy win | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | 71.5% |
| Draw | 19.2% | |
| Makeni All Stars | 9.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.7% |
| No | 54.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 28.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Man Utd Zambia Academy win | 48.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 28.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.1% | |
| 3-0 | 9.9% |
Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Makeni All Stars stats
Man Utd Zambia Academy and Makeni All Stars recent form
| Man Utd Zambia Academy |
WDWLWW |
| Makeni All Stars |
LD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.