Zambia Super League
·
Full time
·Matchday 4
Green Eagles
vs
Roan United
1 – 0 Full time
Green Eagles
45%
Draw
34%
Roan United
20%
Green Eagles vs Roan United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Green Eagles vs Roan United
| Probability | Green Eagles | Draw | Roan United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.5% | 34.4% | 20.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 45.5% | 34.4% | 20.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Green Eagles
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.12 vs 0.65.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
82%
2+ goals
54%
3+ goals
26%
No goals
18%
Green Eagles and Roan United expected goals
Green Eagles
1.12
Roan United
0.65
Total expected goals: 1.76
Green Eagles and Roan United attack and defence ratings
Green Eagles
Attack
1.22 +22%
Defence
0.89 -11%
Roan United
Attack
1.02 +2%
Defence
0.87 -13%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Green Eagles vs Roan United: result vs prediction
Green Eagles 1 – 0 Roan United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
- Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Makeni All Stars — team news & stats
- Red Arrows v Kabwe Warriors — match page
- Zanaco vs NAPSA Stars
- Kansanshi Dynamos v Konkola Blades — match page
- Nkana vs Nchanga Rangers
- ZESCO United vs Mufulira Wanderers — team news & stats
- Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi — team news & stats
- Power Dynamos vs Trident
Before and after this match
Green Eagles vs Roan United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Green Eagles | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Green Eagles | 45.5% |
| Draw | 34.4% | |
| Roan United | 20.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 74.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.3% |
| No | 66.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 65.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Green Eagles win | 19.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.7% | |
| Loss | 54.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 18.4% |
| 1-0 | 17.9% | |
| 1-1 | 13.6% |
Green Eagles vs Roan United stats
Green Eagles and Roan United recent form
| Green Eagles |
WWLLLW |
| Roan United |
DW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Green Eagles vs Roan United head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
2Green Eagles wins
2Draws
0Roan United wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-10-26 | Green Eagles | Roan United | Super League | 2-0 |
| 2014-06-14 | Roan United | Green Eagles | Super League | 0-3 |
| 2012-07-21 | Green Eagles | Roan United | Super League | 0-0 |
| 2012-05-12 | Roan United | Green Eagles | Super League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.