Roan United
vs
ZESCO United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Roan United
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Roan United vs ZESCO United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Roan United vs ZESCO United
| Probability | Roan United | Draw | ZESCO United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.7% | 31.1% | 32.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 36.7% | 31.1% | 32.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Roan United vs ZESCO United match preview
Roan United is set to face ZESCO United in the Zambia Super League on October 14, 2026. According to our model, Roan United has a 37% chance of winning, while ZESCO United's chances stand at 32%, with a 31% probability of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Roan United, occurring with an 11% likelihood. Expected goals for Roan United are 1.19, compared to ZESCO United's 1.10.
In terms of recent form, Roan United has won their latest match, while ZESCO United has recorded a draw and three wins in their last six matches, alongside two losses. The probability of over 2.5 goals is 40%, and there is a 48% chance that both teams will score in the match. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Roan United and ZESCO United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.28
Roan United and ZESCO United attack and defence ratings
Roan United
ZESCO United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
- Green Eagles vs Red Arrows
- Mufulira Wanderers v Nkwazi — match page
- NAPSA Stars vs Nkana — team news & stats
- Nchanga Rangers vs Trident
- Konkola Blades v Man Utd Zambia Academy — match page
- Kansanshi Dynamos vs Power Dynamos — team news & stats
- Mutondo Stars v Green Buffaloes — match page
- Chirundu Utd vs Kabwe Warriors — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Roan United vs ZESCO United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Roan United | 36.7% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Roan United | 36.7% |
| Draw | 31.1% | |
| ZESCO United | 32.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.6% |
| No | 52.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Roan United win | 16.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 63.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.5% | |
| 1-0 | 10.8% |
Roan United vs ZESCO United stats
Roan United and ZESCO United recent form
| Roan United |
W |
| ZESCO United |
DWWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.