Mufulira Wanderers
vs
Nkwazi
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 42% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Mufulira Wanderers vs Nkwazi overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mufulira Wanderers vs Nkwazi
| Probability | Mufulira Wanderers | Draw | Nkwazi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.7% | 50.5% | 32.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 16.7% | 50.5% | 32.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Mufulira Wanderers vs Nkwazi match preview
Mufulira Wanderers face Nkwazi in a Zambia Super League matchup with kickoff scheduled for November 15, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities indicate a 17% chance of a Mufulira Wanderers victory, a 51% likelihood of a draw, and a 33% chance for Nkwazi to win. The expected goals for Mufulira Wanderers stand at 0.33, while Nkwazi is projected at 0.56.
Recent form shows Mufulira Wanderers struggling with a sequence of draws and losses, recording D-L-L-D-D-L, whereas Nkwazi has fared slightly better with W-D-D-D-D-L. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is a 0-0 draw, with only a 6% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 13% chance of both teams scoring. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mufulira Wanderers and Nkwazi expected goals
Total expected goals: 0.89
Mufulira Wanderers and Nkwazi attack and defence ratings
Mufulira Wanderers
Nkwazi
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mufulira Wanderers vs Nkwazi markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 93.9% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mufulira Wanderers | 16.7% |
| Draw | 50.5% | |
| Nkwazi | 32.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 6.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 93.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 12.8% |
| No | 87.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 49.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nkwazi win | 8.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.5% | |
| Loss | 67.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 41.9% |
| 0-1 | 22.3% | |
| 1-0 | 12.8% |
Mufulira Wanderers vs Nkwazi stats
Mufulira Wanderers and Nkwazi recent form
| Mufulira Wanderers |
DLLDDL |
| Nkwazi |
WDDDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mufulira Wanderers and Nkwazi season so far
Mufulira Wanderers record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Nkwazi record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Mufulira Wanderers vs Nkwazi head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Nkwazi | Mufulira Wanderers | Zambia Super League | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-17 | Mufulira Wanderers | Nkwazi | Zambia Super League | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-22 | Mufulira Wanderers | Nkwazi | Super League | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Nkwazi | Mufulira Wanderers | Super League | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-15 | Nkwazi | Mufulira Wanderers | Super League | 0-1 |
| 2023-12-02 | Mufulira Wanderers | Nkwazi | Super League | 1-1 |
| 2017-09-16 | Mufulira Wanderers | Nkwazi | Super League | 3-1 |
| 2017-05-24 | Nkwazi | Mufulira Wanderers | Super League | 0-2 |
| 2016-07-23 | Nkwazi | Mufulira Wanderers | Super League | 1-1 |
| 2016-03-26 | Mufulira Wanderers | Nkwazi | Super League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.