Mufulira Wanderers
vs
Nkwazi
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 22% model probability
Mufulira Wanderers vs Nkwazi overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mufulira Wanderers vs Nkwazi
| Probability | Mufulira Wanderers | Draw | Nkwazi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.4% | 38.1% | 36.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 25.4% | 38.1% | 36.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Mufulira Wanderers vs Nkwazi match preview
Mufulira Wanderers will face Nkwazi in the Zambia Super League on October 14, 2026. According to our model, Mufulira Wanderers have a 25% chance of winning, while Nkwazi has a slightly higher probability of 37%, with a 38% likelihood of a draw. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 0-0, occurring at a rate of 22%. Expected goals are 0.69 for Mufulira Wanderers and 0.88 for Nkwazi.
In terms of recent form, Mufulira Wanderers have struggled, recording four losses and one win in their last six matches. Nkwazi's form is somewhat better, with two wins, three losses, and one draw in the same timeframe. The two teams have met twice recently, resulting in no wins for either side, with both encounters ending in draws. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mufulira Wanderers and Nkwazi expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.57
Mufulira Wanderers and Nkwazi attack and defence ratings
Mufulira Wanderers
Nkwazi
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Mufulira Wanderers vs Nkwazi markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 38.1% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mufulira Wanderers | 25.4% |
| Draw | 38.1% | |
| Nkwazi | 36.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 20.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 79.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 30.3% |
| No | 69.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 61.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nkwazi win | 13.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 63.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 22.2% |
| 0-1 | 17.1% | |
| 1-1 | 13.9% |
Mufulira Wanderers vs Nkwazi stats
Mufulira Wanderers and Nkwazi recent form
| Mufulira Wanderers |
LLDLLW |
| Nkwazi |
LLWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mufulira Wanderers vs Nkwazi head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Nkwazi | Mufulira Wanderers | Zambia Super League | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-17 | Mufulira Wanderers | Nkwazi | Zambia Super League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.