NAPSA Stars
vs
Nkana
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 21% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
NAPSA Stars vs Nkana overview
Garuda Lions analysis: NAPSA Stars vs Nkana
| Probability | NAPSA Stars | Draw | Nkana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.9% | 37.8% | 32.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 29.9% | 37.8% | 32.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
NAPSA Stars vs Nkana match preview
NAPSA Stars will face Nkana in the Zambia Super League on November 8, 2026. NAPSA Stars has struggled recently, recording a series of results that includes five draws and a loss, while Nkana comes into the match with a stronger form, having won three of their last four games. The 1X2 probabilities from our model indicate a 30% chance for NAPSA Stars to win, a 38% chance for a draw, and a 32% chance for Nkana to secure victory.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is a 0-0 draw, with a 21% probability. Expected goals are closely matched, with NAPSA Stars at 0.78 and Nkana at 0.82. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 22%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 32%. Historically, in their last 10 encounters, NAPSA Stars has achieved 2 wins, while Nkana has 4 wins and there have been 4 draws.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
NAPSA Stars and Nkana expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.60
NAPSA Stars and Nkana attack and defence ratings
NAPSA Stars
Nkana
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
NAPSA Stars vs Nkana markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 37.8% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NAPSA Stars | 29.9% |
| Draw | 37.8% | |
| Nkana | 32.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 21.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 78.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31.7% |
| No | 68.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 62.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nkana win | 11.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 67.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 21.4% |
| 0-1 | 15.3% | |
| 1-0 | 14.4% |
NAPSA Stars vs Nkana stats
NAPSA Stars and Nkana recent form
| NAPSA Stars |
LDLDDD |
| Nkana |
WDLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
NAPSA Stars and Nkana season so far
NAPSA Stars record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Nkana record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
NAPSA Stars vs Nkana head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | NAPSA Stars | Nkana | Zambia Super League | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Nkana | NAPSA Stars | Zambia Super League | 1-0 |
| 2025-01-25 | Nkana | NAPSA Stars | Super League | 0-1 |
| 2024-09-14 | NAPSA Stars | Nkana | Super League | 0-1 |
| 2024-03-16 | NAPSA Stars | Nkana | Super League | 1-0 |
| 2023-10-21 | Nkana | NAPSA Stars | Super League | 1-1 |
| 2023-05-06 | Nkana | NAPSA Stars | Super League | 1-0 |
| 2022-11-26 | NAPSA Stars | Nkana | Super League | 1-1 |
| 2021-06-27 | NAPSA Stars | Nkana | Super League | 0-0 |
| 2021-05-19 | Nkana | NAPSA Stars | Super League | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.