Makeni All Stars
vs
NAPSA Stars
Garuda Lions Prediction: NAPSA Stars
0 – 1 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.16 vs 0.81.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Makeni All Stars vs NAPSA Stars overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Makeni All Stars vs NAPSA Stars
| Probability | Makeni All Stars | Draw | NAPSA Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.3% | 33.1% | 42.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 24.3% | 33.1% | 42.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why NAPSA Stars
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.16 vs 0.81.
Makeni All Stars vs NAPSA Stars match preview
Makeni All Stars will face NAPSA Stars in the Zambia Super League on November 19, 2026. According to our model, Makeni All Stars has a 24% chance of winning, while NAPSA Stars holds a 43% probability of victory, with a 33% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals for Makeni All Stars is 0.81, compared to NAPSA Stars' 1.16. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 15%.
Recent form indicates that Makeni All Stars has struggled, with five consecutive losses followed by a draw. In contrast, NAPSA Stars has also faced difficulties, recording two losses and two draws in their last six matches. The probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 32%, while both teams scoring is projected at 39%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Makeni All Stars and NAPSA Stars expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.97
Makeni All Stars and NAPSA Stars attack and defence ratings
Makeni All Stars
NAPSA Stars
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Makeni All Stars vs NAPSA Stars markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NAPSA Stars | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Makeni All Stars | 24.3% |
| Draw | 33.1% | |
| NAPSA Stars | 42.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.4% |
| No | 60.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | NAPSA Stars win | 18.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 57.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.3% |
| 0-1 | 14.9% | |
| 1-1 | 14.4% |
Makeni All Stars vs NAPSA Stars stats
Makeni All Stars and NAPSA Stars recent form
| Makeni All Stars |
LLLLLD |
| NAPSA Stars |
LLDLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Makeni All Stars and NAPSA Stars season so far
Makeni All Stars record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
NAPSA Stars record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.