Zambia Super League Β· Β·Matchday 7

Nchanga Rangers vs Makeni All Stars

Garuda Lions Prediction: Nchanga Rangers

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 16% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 0.65.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Nchanga Stadium, Chingola

Nchanga Rangers 57%
Draw 28%
Makeni All Stars 15%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Nchanga Rangers wins
57%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
87%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
38%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
16% of simulated outcomes

Nchanga Rangers vs Makeni All Stars overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Nchanga Rangers vs Makeni All Stars

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNchanga RangersDrawMakeni All Stars
Model57.3%28.0%14.7%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final57.3%28.0%14.7%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Nchanga Rangers

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 0.65.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Nchanga Rangers vs Makeni All Stars match preview

Nchanga Rangers are set to face Makeni All Stars in the Zambia Super League, with kickoff scheduled for November 5, 2026. According to our model, Nchanga Rangers have a 57% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 28% and Makeni All Stars at 15%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Nchanga Rangers, with an expected goals tally of 1.52 for them compared to 0.65 for Makeni All Stars.

In terms of recent form, Nchanga Rangers have struggled, recording a sequence of six matches with five losses and one win. Makeni All Stars have also faced challenges, with their last five matches yielding three losses and one draw. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 37%, and both teams scoring is forecasted at 38%. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Nchanga Ranger ↓ / Makeni All Sta β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 1 16% 12% 2 13% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Nchanga Rangers and Makeni All Stars expected goals

Nchanga Rangers 1.52
Makeni All Stars 0.65

Total expected goals: 2.17

Nchanga Rangers and Makeni All Stars attack and defence ratings

Nchanga Rangers

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Makeni All Stars

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 2.01 +101%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Zambia Super League

Before and after this match

Nchanga Rangers vs Makeni All Stars markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Nchanga Rangers 57.3% 1.75 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.0% 1.59 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 61.5% 1.62 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.3% 1.17 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 42.7% 2.34 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Nchanga Rangers57.3%
Draw28.0%
Makeni All Stars14.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.537.0%
Under 2.563.0%
Both teams to scoreYes38.5%
No61.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.3%
12 (either side)72.0%
X2 (draw or away)42.7%
Handicap -1Nchanga Rangers win31.0%
Push (exactly one goal)26.3%
Loss42.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-016.2%
2-013.2%
0-012.5%

Nchanga Rangers vs Makeni All Stars stats

Nchanga Rangers and Makeni All Stars recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Nchanga Rangers vs Makeni All Stars head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Nchanga Rangers vs Makeni All Stars odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Nchanga Rangers Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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