Nkana
vs
Kansanshi Dynamos
Garuda Lions Prediction: Nkana
1 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.64.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Nkana vs Kansanshi Dynamos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nkana vs Kansanshi Dynamos
| Probability | Nkana | Draw | Kansanshi Dynamos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.1% | 26.0% | 12.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 61.1% | 26.0% | 12.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Nkana
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.64.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Nkana vs Kansanshi Dynamos match preview
Nkana is favored to win against Kansanshi Dynamos, with a 61% probability according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, projected at 16%. Nkana's expected goals are 1.66, while Kansanshi Dynamos sits at 0.64. Recent form shows Nkana with a mixed record of L-W-W-W-D-L, whereas Kansanshi Dynamos has struggled, recording L-W-L-D-D-L.
In their last two encounters, Nkana has secured one win and one draw against Kansanshi Dynamos, who has yet to claim a victory in this matchup. The probability of a draw stands at 26%, while Kansanshi Dynamos has a 13% chance of winning. Additionally, there is a 40% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nkana and Kansanshi Dynamos expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.29
Nkana and Kansanshi Dynamos attack and defence ratings
Nkana
Kansanshi Dynamos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Nkana vs Kansanshi Dynamos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nkana | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nkana | 61.1% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Kansanshi Dynamos | 12.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.1% |
| No | 60.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nkana win | 34.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.2% | |
| Loss | 38.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.7% |
| 2-0 | 13.9% | |
| 1-1 | 11.7% |
Nkana vs Kansanshi Dynamos stats
Nkana and Kansanshi Dynamos recent form
| Nkana |
LWWWDL |
| Kansanshi Dynamos |
LWLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nkana vs Kansanshi Dynamos head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Kansanshi Dynamos | Nkana | Zambia Super League | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Nkana | Kansanshi Dynamos | Zambia Super League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.