Kabwe Warriors
vs
Roan United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kabwe Warriors
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 0.72.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Kabwe Warriors vs Roan United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kabwe Warriors vs Roan United
| Probability | Kabwe Warriors | Draw | Roan United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.5% | 26.0% | 14.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 59.5% | 26.0% | 14.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kabwe Warriors
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 0.72.
Kabwe Warriors vs Roan United match preview
Kabwe Warriors are set to face Roan United in the Zambia Super League, with kickoff scheduled for November 4, 2026. According to our model, Kabwe Warriors have a 60% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 26% and Roan United at 14%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Kabwe Warriors, with an expected goals tally of 1.68 for them compared to 0.72 for Roan United.
Recent form shows Kabwe Warriors struggling with a record of L-W-D-L-D-L, while Roan United has also faced challenges, recording L-L-D-W in their last matches. Both teams have a 43% probability of scoring over 2.5 goals, indicating a potentially competitive match despite the confidence grade being C, suggesting some uncertainty in the outcome.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kabwe Warriors and Roan United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.40
Kabwe Warriors and Roan United attack and defence ratings
Kabwe Warriors
Roan United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kabwe Warriors vs Roan United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kabwe Warriors | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kabwe Warriors | 59.5% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Roan United | 14.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.7% |
| No | 57.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kabwe Warriors win | 34.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.4% | |
| Loss | 40.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.2% |
| 2-0 | 12.9% | |
| 1-1 | 12.0% |
Kabwe Warriors vs Roan United stats
Kabwe Warriors and Roan United recent form
| Kabwe Warriors |
LWDLDL |
| Roan United |
LLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.