Green Eagles
vs
Kabwe Warriors
Garuda Lions Prediction: Green Eagles
1 – 0 Predicted score · 18% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.56.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Green Eagles vs Kabwe Warriors overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Green Eagles vs Kabwe Warriors
| Probability | Green Eagles | Draw | Kabwe Warriors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.2% | 26.8% | 11.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 61.2% | 26.8% | 11.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Green Eagles
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.56.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Green Eagles vs Kabwe Warriors match preview
Green Eagles are set to face Kabwe Warriors in the Zambia Super League, with a kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Green Eagles hold a 57% probability of winning, while a draw is at 29% and Kabwe Warriors at 14%. The expected goals for Green Eagles stand at 1.44, compared to 0.58 for Kabwe Warriors, suggesting a potential advantage for the home side. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0, occurring at an 18% probability.
In terms of recent form, Green Eagles have recorded a mixed bag of results with two wins and three draws in their last six matches. Meanwhile, Kabwe Warriors have also struggled, managing just one win in their last six outings, with three draws. Notably, in their last two head-to-head encounters, both teams have yet to secure a victory, with two draws recorded.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Green Eagles and Kabwe Warriors expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.14
Green Eagles and Kabwe Warriors attack and defence ratings
Green Eagles
Kabwe Warriors
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Nkwazi v ZESCO United — match page
- Power Dynamos vs Nkana — team news & stats
- Red Arrows vs Chirundu Utd
- Nchanga Rangers v Man Utd Zambia Academy — match page
- Kansanshi Dynamos vs NAPSA Stars — team news & stats
- Trident vs Zanaco
- Green Buffaloes v Mufulira Wanderers — match page
- Mutondo Stars vs Roan United — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Green Eagles vs Kabwe Warriors markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Green Eagles | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Green Eagles | 61.2% |
| Draw | 26.8% | |
| Kabwe Warriors | 11.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.2% |
| No | 64.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Green Eagles win | 34.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.1% | |
| Loss | 38.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 17.5% |
| 2-0 | 14.6% | |
| 0-0 | 12.8% |
Green Eagles vs Kabwe Warriors stats
Green Eagles and Kabwe Warriors recent form
| Green Eagles |
DWWWLL |
| Kabwe Warriors |
LWDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Green Eagles vs Kabwe Warriors head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | Green Eagles | Kabwe Warriors | Zambia Super League | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-13 | Kabwe Warriors | Green Eagles | Zambia Super League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.