Trident
vs
Zanaco
Garuda Lions Prediction: Trident
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.27 vs 0.92.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Trident vs Zanaco overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Trident vs Zanaco
| Probability | Trident | Draw | Zanaco |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.0% | 20.1% | 12.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 67.0% | 20.1% | 12.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Trident
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.27 vs 0.92.
Trident vs Zanaco match preview
Trident faces Zanaco in the Zambia Super League with a strong probability of victory, as our model gives Trident a 67% chance to win, while Zanaco stands at 13%. The expected goals for Trident are 2.27 compared to 0.92 for Zanaco, indicating a significant offensive advantage for Trident. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0, occurring with an 11% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Trident has recorded a win, loss, draw, and another loss in their last four matches, while Zanaco's recent results include two wins, a draw, and two losses. The model suggests a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% likelihood that both teams will score, reflecting potential offensive action in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Trident and Zanaco expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.18
Trident and Zanaco attack and defence ratings
Trident
Zanaco
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Power Dynamos vs Nkana — team news & stats
- Red Arrows vs Chirundu Utd
- Nchanga Rangers v Man Utd Zambia Academy — match page
- Kansanshi Dynamos vs NAPSA Stars — team news & stats
- Green Buffaloes v Mufulira Wanderers — match page
- Mutondo Stars vs Roan United — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Trident vs Zanaco markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Trident | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Trident win | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Trident | 67.0% |
| Draw | 20.1% | |
| Zanaco | 12.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.6% |
| No | 45.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 33.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Trident win | 44.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 33.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 1-1 | 9.5% |