Green Buffaloes
vs
Mufulira Wanderers
Garuda Lions Prediction: Green Buffaloes
1 – 0 Predicted score · 27% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.05 vs 0.27.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Green Buffaloes vs Mufulira Wanderers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Green Buffaloes vs Mufulira Wanderers
| Probability | Green Buffaloes | Draw | Mufulira Wanderers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.1% | 36.3% | 8.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 55.1% | 36.3% | 8.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Green Buffaloes
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.05 vs 0.27.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Green Buffaloes vs Mufulira Wanderers match preview
Green Buffaloes are favored to win against Mufulira Wanderers with a 55% probability, while a draw stands at 36% and Mufulira Wanderers at 9%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Green Buffaloes, with a 27% chance of occurring. The expected goals for Green Buffaloes is 1.05, compared to only 0.27 for Mufulira Wanderers, indicating a significant disparity in offensive output.
In terms of recent form, Green Buffaloes have recorded a mixed bag with two wins, two draws, and two losses in their last six matches. Mufulira Wanderers, on the other hand, have struggled, with one draw and five losses in their recent games. The last two head-to-head encounters have seen each team secure one victory, adding an element of unpredictability to the matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Green Buffaloes and Mufulira Wanderers expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.32
Green Buffaloes and Mufulira Wanderers attack and defence ratings
Green Buffaloes
Mufulira Wanderers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Green Eagles vs Kabwe Warriors
- Nkwazi v ZESCO United — match page
- Power Dynamos vs Nkana — team news & stats
- Red Arrows vs Chirundu Utd
- Nchanga Rangers v Man Utd Zambia Academy — match page
- Kansanshi Dynamos vs NAPSA Stars — team news & stats
- Mutondo Stars vs Roan United — team news & stats
- Makeni All Stars vs Konkola Blades
Before and after this match
Green Buffaloes vs Mufulira Wanderers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Green Buffaloes | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Green Buffaloes | 55.1% |
| Draw | 36.3% | |
| Mufulira Wanderers | 8.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 14.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 85.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 16.1% |
| No | 83.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 63.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Green Buffaloes win | 23.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 31.5% | |
| Loss | 44.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 27.4% |
| 1-0 | 27.3% | |
| 2-0 | 14.8% |
Green Buffaloes vs Mufulira Wanderers stats
Green Buffaloes and Mufulira Wanderers recent form
| Green Buffaloes |
WDDWLL |
| Mufulira Wanderers |
LDDLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Green Buffaloes vs Mufulira Wanderers head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Green Buffaloes | Mufulira Wanderers | Zambia Super League | 1-0 |
| 2026-01-28 | Mufulira Wanderers | Green Buffaloes | Zambia Super League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.