Nkwazi
vs
ZESCO United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 28% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Nkwazi vs ZESCO United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nkwazi vs ZESCO United
| Probability | Nkwazi | Draw | ZESCO United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.2% | 41.9% | 35.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 22.2% | 41.9% | 35.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Nkwazi vs ZESCO United match preview
Nkwazi faces ZESCO United in a Zambia Super League match on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Nkwazi has a 22% chance of winning, while ZESCO United has a 36% probability of victory, and a draw stands at 42%. The most likely scoreline is a 0-0 draw, predicted at 28%. Both teams have struggled to score, with expected goals of 0.54 for Nkwazi and 0.76 for ZESCO United, suggesting a low-scoring affair is likely.
Recent form shows Nkwazi with three draws and two losses in their last five matches, while ZESCO United has two wins, two draws, and one loss. In their last two head-to-head encounters, Nkwazi has secured one win and one draw against ZESCO United, who have yet to win in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nkwazi and ZESCO United expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.30
Nkwazi and ZESCO United attack and defence ratings
Nkwazi
ZESCO United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Nkwazi vs ZESCO United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 41.9% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.8% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nkwazi | 22.2% |
| Draw | 41.9% | |
| ZESCO United | 35.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 14.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 85.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 23.2% |
| No | 76.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 58.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | ZESCO United win | 11.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 64.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 28.5% |
| 0-1 | 19.7% | |
| 1-0 | 13.6% |
Nkwazi vs ZESCO United stats
Nkwazi and ZESCO United recent form
| Nkwazi |
DDDLLW |
| ZESCO United |
WDLDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nkwazi vs ZESCO United head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Nkwazi | ZESCO United | Zambia Super League | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-06 | ZESCO United | Nkwazi | Zambia Super League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.