Nchanga Rangers
vs
Man Utd Zambia Academy
Garuda Lions Prediction: Man Utd Zambia Academy
0 – 1 Predicted score · 17% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.12 vs 0.68.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Nchanga Rangers vs Man Utd Zambia Academy overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nchanga Rangers vs Man Utd Zambia Academy
| Probability | Nchanga Rangers | Draw | Man Utd Zambia Academy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.0% | 34.3% | 44.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 21.0% | 34.3% | 44.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Man Utd Zambia Academy
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.12 vs 0.68.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Nchanga Rangers vs Man Utd Zambia Academy match preview
Nchanga Rangers face Man Utd Zambia Academy in the Zambia Super League, with kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Nchanga Rangers have a 21% chance of winning, while Man Utd Zambia Academy holds a 47% probability. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a 15% likelihood. Expected goals suggest Nchanga Rangers will score 0.76, compared to 1.28 for Man Utd Zambia Academy.
Recent form shows Nchanga Rangers struggling with five consecutive losses and one draw, while Man Utd Zambia Academy has recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last six matches. The probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 33%, and both teams scoring stands at 40%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nchanga Rangers and Man Utd Zambia Academy expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.80
Nchanga Rangers and Man Utd Zambia Academy attack and defence ratings
Nchanga Rangers
Man Utd Zambia Academy
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Green Eagles vs Kabwe Warriors
- Nkwazi v ZESCO United — match page
- Power Dynamos vs Nkana — team news & stats
- Red Arrows vs Chirundu Utd
- Kansanshi Dynamos vs NAPSA Stars — team news & stats
- Trident vs Zanaco
- Green Buffaloes v Mufulira Wanderers — match page
- Mutondo Stars vs Roan United — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Nchanga Rangers vs Man Utd Zambia Academy markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nchanga Rangers | 21.0% |
| Draw | 34.3% | |
| Man Utd Zambia Academy | 44.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 73.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34.5% |
| No | 65.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 65.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Man Utd Zambia Academy win | 19.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.2% | |
| Loss | 55.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.8% |
| 0-1 | 17.3% | |
| 1-1 | 13.9% |
Nchanga Rangers vs Man Utd Zambia Academy stats
Nchanga Rangers and Man Utd Zambia Academy recent form
| Nchanga Rangers |
WLLLLL |
| Man Utd Zambia Academy |
WWWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nchanga Rangers vs Man Utd Zambia Academy head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | Nchanga Rangers | Zambia Super League | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Nchanga Rangers | Man Utd Zambia Academy | Zambia Super League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.