Red Arrows
vs
Chirundu Utd
Garuda Lions Prediction: Red Arrows
1 – 0 Predicted score · 22% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.02 vs 0.46.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Red Arrows vs Chirundu Utd overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Red Arrows vs Chirundu Utd
| Probability | Red Arrows | Draw | Chirundu Utd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.6% | 37.0% | 15.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 47.6% | 37.0% | 15.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Red Arrows
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.02 vs 0.46.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Red Arrows vs Chirundu Utd match preview
Red Arrows are set to face Chirundu Utd in the Zambia Super League, with kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Red Arrows have a 52% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 34% and Chirundu Utd at 14%. The expected goals for Red Arrows is 1.16, compared to 0.46 for Chirundu Utd, indicating a potential advantage for the home side.
In terms of recent form, Red Arrows have recorded a sequence of results with their latest match ending in a loss, followed by three wins and a draw. Chirundu Utd's recent performances include one win, a draw, and a loss. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Red Arrows, with a 22% likelihood.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Red Arrows and Chirundu Utd expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.48
Red Arrows and Chirundu Utd attack and defence ratings
Red Arrows
Chirundu Utd
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
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- Power Dynamos vs Nkana — team news & stats
- Nchanga Rangers v Man Utd Zambia Academy — match page
- Kansanshi Dynamos vs NAPSA Stars — team news & stats
- Trident vs Zanaco
- Green Buffaloes v Mufulira Wanderers — match page
- Mutondo Stars vs Roan United — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Red Arrows vs Chirundu Utd markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Red Arrows | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Red Arrows | 47.6% |
| Draw | 37.0% | |
| Chirundu Utd | 15.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 18.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 81.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 24.7% |
| No | 75.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 63.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Red Arrows win | 19.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.0% | |
| Loss | 52.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 23.9% |
| 1-0 | 22.1% | |
| 2-0 | 11.8% |
Red Arrows vs Chirundu Utd stats
Red Arrows and Chirundu Utd recent form
| Red Arrows |
LWDWWW |
| Chirundu Utd |
WWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.