Mufulira Wanderers
vs
Chirundu Utd
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 27% model probability
Mufulira Wanderers vs Chirundu Utd overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mufulira Wanderers vs Chirundu Utd
| Probability | Mufulira Wanderers | Draw | Chirundu Utd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.2% | 41.7% | 29.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 29.2% | 41.7% | 29.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Mufulira Wanderers vs Chirundu Utd match preview
Mufulira Wanderers will face Chirundu Utd in the Zambia Super League, with kickoff scheduled for October 24, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities for the match outcome are evenly split, with Mufulira Wanderers and Chirundu Utd each at 29%, while a draw is favored at 42%. The most likely scoreline is a goalless draw at 27%. Both teams have struggled for form recently, with Mufulira Wanderers recording a series of draws and losses, while Chirundu Utd has also failed to secure a victory in their last match.
The expected goals for both teams are equal at 0.67, indicating a potentially tight contest. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is low at 15%, and both teams scoring sits at 25%. With a confidence grade of C, the match could be closely contested, reflecting the teams' recent performances.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mufulira Wanderers and Chirundu Utd expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.34
Mufulira Wanderers and Chirundu Utd attack and defence ratings
Mufulira Wanderers
Chirundu Utd
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Mufulira Wanderers vs Chirundu Utd markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mufulira Wanderers | 29.2% |
| Draw | 41.7% | |
| Chirundu Utd | 29.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 15.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 84.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 24.9% |
| No | 75.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 58.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mufulira Wanderers win | 8.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 70.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 27.4% |
| 1-0 | 16.4% | |
| 0-1 | 16.4% |
Mufulira Wanderers vs Chirundu Utd stats
Mufulira Wanderers and Chirundu Utd recent form
| Mufulira Wanderers |
DLLDLL |
| Chirundu Utd |
DL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.