Nkwazi
vs
Green Eagles
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 27% model probability
Nkwazi vs Green Eagles overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nkwazi vs Green Eagles
| Probability | Nkwazi | Draw | Green Eagles |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.5% | 41.4% | 32.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 26.5% | 41.4% | 32.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Nkwazi vs Green Eagles match preview
Nkwazi and Green Eagles are set to clash in the Zambia Super League, with kickoff scheduled for October 24, 2026. According to our model, Nkwazi has a 26% chance of winning, while Green Eagles stands at 32%, and a draw is favored at 41%. The most likely scoreline is a 0-0 draw, predicted at 27%. Both teams have struggled to find the back of the net recently, with expected goals of 0.63 for Nkwazi and 0.72 for Green Eagles.
In terms of recent form, Nkwazi has recorded two draws, two losses, and a win in their last five matches, while Green Eagles has seen three wins followed by two losses. The head-to-head record shows Nkwazi has yet to secure a win against Green Eagles, with one draw and one loss in their last two encounters. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of uncertainty.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nkwazi and Green Eagles expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.35
Nkwazi and Green Eagles attack and defence ratings
Nkwazi
Green Eagles
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Nkwazi vs Green Eagles markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 41.4% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nkwazi | 26.5% |
| Draw | 41.4% | |
| Green Eagles | 32.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 15.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 84.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 25.2% |
| No | 74.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 58.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Green Eagles win | 10.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 67.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 27.1% |
| 0-1 | 17.5% | |
| 1-0 | 15.1% |
Nkwazi vs Green Eagles stats
Nkwazi and Green Eagles recent form
| Nkwazi |
DLLWWD |
| Green Eagles |
WWWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nkwazi vs Green Eagles head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | Green Eagles | Nkwazi | Zambia Super League | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Nkwazi | Green Eagles | Zambia Super League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.