Kabwe Warriors
vs
Green Buffaloes
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kabwe Warriors
1 – 0 Predicted score · 18% model probability
Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes
| Probability | Kabwe Warriors | Draw | Green Buffaloes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.5% | 36.2% | 21.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 42.5% | 36.2% | 21.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kabwe Warriors
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.02 vs 0.64.
Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes match preview
Kabwe Warriors are set to face Green Buffaloes in the Zambia Super League, with kickoff scheduled for October 24, 2026. According to our model, Kabwe Warriors have a 42% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 36% and Green Buffaloes at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Kabwe Warriors, with an 18% likelihood. Expected goals for Kabwe Warriors stand at 1.02, compared to 0.64 for Green Buffaloes.
In terms of recent form, Kabwe Warriors have recorded one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches, while Green Buffaloes have two wins, one draw, and two losses. In their last two encounters, Kabwe Warriors have won both matches against Green Buffaloes, indicating a favorable head-to-head record. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kabwe Warriors and Green Buffaloes expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.65
Kabwe Warriors and Green Buffaloes attack and defence ratings
Kabwe Warriors
Green Buffaloes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kabwe Warriors | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kabwe Warriors | 42.5% |
| Draw | 36.2% | |
| Green Buffaloes | 21.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 23.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 76.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31.3% |
| No | 68.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 63.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kabwe Warriors win | 17.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.2% | |
| Loss | 57.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 20.4% |
| 1-0 | 18.2% | |
| 1-1 | 13.6% |
Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes stats
Kabwe Warriors and Green Buffaloes recent form
| Kabwe Warriors |
WDLDLD |
| Green Buffaloes |
DWLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Green Buffaloes | Kabwe Warriors | Zambia Super League | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-20 | Kabwe Warriors | Green Buffaloes | Zambia Super League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.