Kabwe Warriors
vs
Mutondo Stars
3 – 2 Full time
Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars
| Probability | Kabwe Warriors | Draw | Mutondo Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.4% | 31.0% | 22.6% |
| Market | 50.6% | 30.0% | 19.4% |
| Final | 49.6% | 30.3% | 20.2% |
| Edge | -1.1% | +0.2% | +0.8% |
Why Kabwe Warriors
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 0.84.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kabwe Warriors and Mutondo Stars expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.15
Kabwe Warriors and Mutondo Stars attack and defence ratings
Kabwe Warriors
Mutondo Stars
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars: result vs prediction
Kabwe Warriors 3 – 2 Mutondo Stars
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
- Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Kansanshi Dynamos
- Nkana v Makeni All Stars — match page
- Nkwazi vs Chirundu Utd — team news & stats
- Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers
- ZESCO United v Green Eagles — match page
- Roan United vs Green Buffaloes
- Trident v NAPSA Stars — match page
- Zanaco vs Konkola Blades — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kabwe Warriors | 49.6% | 2.02 | -1.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kabwe Warriors | 49.6% |
| Draw | 30.3% | |
| Mutondo Stars | 20.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.9% |
| No | 57.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kabwe Warriors win | 22.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 53.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-0 | 13.9% | |
| 0-0 | 12.9% |
Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars stats
Kabwe Warriors and Mutondo Stars recent form
| Kabwe Warriors |
DLDLDW |
| Mutondo Stars |
LLWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Kabwe Warriors | Mutondo Stars | Zambia Super League | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Mutondo Stars | Kabwe Warriors | Zambia Super League | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-02 | Mutondo Stars | Kabwe Warriors | Super League | 0-0 |
| 2024-11-27 | Kabwe Warriors | Mutondo Stars | Super League | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-18 | Mutondo Stars | Kabwe Warriors | Super League | 1-1 |
| 2023-12-09 | Kabwe Warriors | Mutondo Stars | Super League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.6%, draw 30.0%, away 19.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 3.02 | 4.64 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 2.90 | 4.75 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 2.90 | 4.60 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.79 | 3.05 | 4.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.76 | 3.02 | 4.50 |