Kabwe Warriors
vs
Mutondo Stars
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kabwe Warriors
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars
| Probability | Kabwe Warriors | Draw | Mutondo Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.4% | 31.0% | 22.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 46.4% | 31.0% | 22.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kabwe Warriors
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 0.84.
Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars match preview
Kabwe Warriors are set to face Mutondo Stars in the Zambia Super League on October 10, 2026. The probabilities suggest a 46% chance of a Kabwe Warriors victory, while a draw stands at 31% and a win for Mutondo Stars at 23%. The expected goals indicate that Kabwe Warriors may score 1.31, compared to Mutondo Stars' 0.84. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Kabwe Warriors, with a 14% probability.
In terms of recent form, Kabwe Warriors have recorded two draws and three losses in their last five matches, while Mutondo Stars have experienced two losses, one win, one draw, and one loss in the same timeframe. Historically, Kabwe Warriors have a strong advantage in their last two encounters, winning both without conceding. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kabwe Warriors and Mutondo Stars expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.15
Kabwe Warriors and Mutondo Stars attack and defence ratings
Kabwe Warriors
Mutondo Stars
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
- Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Kansanshi Dynamos
- Nkana v Makeni All Stars — match page
- Nkwazi vs Chirundu Utd — team news & stats
- Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers
- ZESCO United v Green Eagles — match page
- Roan United vs Green Buffaloes
- Trident v NAPSA Stars — match page
- Zanaco vs Konkola Blades — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kabwe Warriors | 46.4% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kabwe Warriors | 46.4% |
| Draw | 31.0% | |
| Mutondo Stars | 22.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.9% |
| No | 57.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kabwe Warriors win | 22.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 53.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-0 | 13.9% | |
| 0-0 | 12.9% |
Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars stats
Kabwe Warriors and Mutondo Stars recent form
| Kabwe Warriors |
DLDLDW |
| Mutondo Stars |
LLWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Kabwe Warriors | Mutondo Stars | Zambia Super League | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Mutondo Stars | Kabwe Warriors | Zambia Super League | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-02 | Mutondo Stars | Kabwe Warriors | Super League | 0-0 |
| 2024-11-27 | Kabwe Warriors | Mutondo Stars | Super League | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-18 | Mutondo Stars | Kabwe Warriors | Super League | 1-1 |
| 2023-12-09 | Kabwe Warriors | Mutondo Stars | Super League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.