Zambia Super League
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
Nkwazi
vs
Chirundu Utd
0 – 0 Full time
Nkwazi
47%
Draw
36%
Chirundu Utd
17%
Nkwazi vs Chirundu Utd overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nkwazi vs Chirundu Utd
| Probability | Nkwazi | Draw | Chirundu Utd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.0% | 35.6% | 17.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 47.0% | 35.6% | 17.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Nkwazi
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.07 vs 0.55.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
79%
2+ goals
49%
3+ goals
22%
No goals
21%
Nkwazi and Chirundu Utd expected goals
Nkwazi
1.07
Chirundu Utd
0.55
Total expected goals: 1.62
Nkwazi and Chirundu Utd attack and defence ratings
Nkwazi
Attack
0.84 -16%
Defence
0.92 -8%
Chirundu Utd
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
1.21 +21%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nkwazi vs Chirundu Utd: result vs prediction
Nkwazi 0 – 0 Chirundu Utd
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
- Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars — team news & stats
- Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Kansanshi Dynamos
- Nkana v Makeni All Stars — match page
- Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers
- ZESCO United v Green Eagles — match page
- Roan United vs Green Buffaloes
- Trident v NAPSA Stars — match page
- Zanaco vs Konkola Blades — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Nkwazi vs Chirundu Utd markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nkwazi | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nkwazi | 47.0% |
| Draw | 35.6% | |
| Chirundu Utd | 17.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 28.8% |
| No | 71.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 64.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nkwazi win | 20.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.9% | |
| Loss | 53.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 21.0% |
| 1-0 | 20.1% | |
| 1-1 | 12.8% |
Nkwazi vs Chirundu Utd stats
Nkwazi and Chirundu Utd recent form
| Nkwazi |
LLWWDL |
| Chirundu Utd |
L |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.