Trident
vs
NAPSA Stars
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 21% model probability
Trident vs NAPSA Stars overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Trident vs NAPSA Stars
| Probability | Trident | Draw | NAPSA Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.3% | 37.6% | 28.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.3% | 37.6% | 28.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Trident vs NAPSA Stars match preview
Trident faces NAPSA Stars in the Zambia Super League on October 10, 2026. The model indicates a close contest, with Trident holding a 34% probability of winning, while NAPSA Stars has a 28% chance. A draw is deemed the most likely outcome at 38%. The expected goals for Trident stand at 0.86, and for NAPSA Stars, it is 0.75, suggesting a low-scoring affair.
Recent form shows Trident coming off a loss, while NAPSA Stars has recorded a draw and three mixed results in their last five matches. The model predicts a 0-0 scoreline as the most probable outcome at 21%, with only a 22% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 32% likelihood of both teams scoring. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Trident and NAPSA Stars expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.61
Trident and NAPSA Stars attack and defence ratings
Trident
NAPSA Stars
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
- Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars — team news & stats
- Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Kansanshi Dynamos
- Nkana v Makeni All Stars — match page
- Nkwazi vs Chirundu Utd — team news & stats
- Red Arrows vs Mufulira Wanderers
- ZESCO United v Green Eagles — match page
- Roan United vs Green Buffaloes
- Zanaco vs Konkola Blades — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Trident vs NAPSA Stars markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Trident | 34.3% |
| Draw | 37.6% | |
| NAPSA Stars | 28.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 78.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31.8% |
| No | 68.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 62.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Trident win | 12.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 65.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 21.2% |
| 1-0 | 15.9% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
Trident vs NAPSA Stars stats
Trident and NAPSA Stars recent form
| Trident |
L |
| NAPSA Stars |
DWDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.
Trident vs NAPSA Stars head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-17 | Trident | NAPSA Stars | Super League | 1-1 |
| 2023-11-08 | NAPSA Stars | Trident | Super League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.