Zambia Super League
·
Full time
·Matchday 4
Zanaco
vs
NAPSA Stars
1 – 1 Full time
Zanaco
31%
Draw
34%
NAPSA Stars
35%
Zanaco vs NAPSA Stars overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zanaco vs NAPSA Stars
| Probability | Zanaco | Draw | NAPSA Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.6% | 34.2% | 35.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 30.6% | 34.2% | 35.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
84%
2+ goals
59%
3+ goals
30%
No goals
16%
Zanaco and NAPSA Stars expected goals
Zanaco
0.92
NAPSA Stars
1.01
Total expected goals: 1.93
Zanaco and NAPSA Stars attack and defence ratings
Zanaco
Attack
1.03 +3%
Defence
1.52 +52%
NAPSA Stars
Attack
0.93 -7%
Defence
0.84 -16%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Zanaco vs NAPSA Stars: result vs prediction
Zanaco 1 – 1 NAPSA Stars
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
- Green Eagles v Roan United — match page
- Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Makeni All Stars — team news & stats
- Red Arrows v Kabwe Warriors — match page
- Kansanshi Dynamos v Konkola Blades — match page
- Nkana vs Nchanga Rangers
- ZESCO United vs Mufulira Wanderers — team news & stats
- Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi — team news & stats
- Power Dynamos vs Trident
Before and after this match
Zanaco vs NAPSA Stars markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NAPSA Stars | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zanaco | 30.6% |
| Draw | 34.2% | |
| NAPSA Stars | 35.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.5% |
| No | 60.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 65.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | NAPSA Stars win | 13.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 64.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.9% |
| 1-1 | 14.8% | |
| 0-1 | 13.3% |
Zanaco vs NAPSA Stars stats
Zanaco and NAPSA Stars recent form
| Zanaco |
LWLDWL |
| NAPSA Stars |
DDWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zanaco vs NAPSA Stars head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Zanaco wins
1Draws
7NAPSA Stars wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Zanaco | NAPSA Stars | Friendlies Clubs | 0-2 |
| 2026-05-12 | NAPSA Stars | Zanaco | Zambia Super League | 2-0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Zanaco | NAPSA Stars | Zambia Super League | 0-2 |
| 2025-03-13 | NAPSA Stars | Zanaco | Super League | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-09 | Zanaco | NAPSA Stars | Super League | 0-1 |
| 2024-02-24 | Zanaco | NAPSA Stars | Super League | 0-0 |
| 2023-09-23 | NAPSA Stars | Zanaco | Super League | 3-0 |
| 2023-04-02 | Zanaco | NAPSA Stars | Super League | 0-1 |
| 2022-11-05 | NAPSA Stars | Zanaco | Super League | 1-2 |
| 2021-05-29 | NAPSA Stars | Zanaco | Super League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.