Zambia Super League Β· Β·Matchday 7

Chirundu Utd vs Green Eagles

Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw

0 – 0 Predicted score Β· 25% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Chirundu Utd 37%
Draw 40%
Green Eagles 23%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance of a draw
40%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
75%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
27%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 0
25% of simulated outcomes

Chirundu Utd vs Green Eagles overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Chirundu Utd vs Green Eagles

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityChirundu UtdDrawGreen Eagles
Model37.1%39.8%23.1%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final37.1%39.8%23.1%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Chirundu Utd vs Green Eagles match preview

Chirundu Utd faces Green Eagles in the Zambia Super League, with kickoff scheduled for November 5, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities for the match outcome are 37% for a Chirundu Utd win, 40% for a draw, and 23% for a Green Eagles victory. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 0-0, with an expected goals tally of 0.83 for Chirundu Utd and 0.60 for Green Eagles.

Recent form shows Chirundu Utd with two wins, one draw, and one loss, while Green Eagles has recorded two wins, two draws, and two losses in their last six matches. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 17%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 27%. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate uncertainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Chirundu Utd ↓ / Green Eagles β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 25% 13% 1 19% 13% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 75%
2+ goals 43%
3+ goals 17%
No goals 25%

Chirundu Utd and Green Eagles expected goals

Chirundu Utd 0.83
Green Eagles 0.60

Total expected goals: 1.43

Chirundu Utd and Green Eagles attack and defence ratings

Chirundu Utd

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Green Eagles

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Zambia Super League

Before and after this match

Chirundu Utd vs Green Eagles markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Draw 39.8% 2.51 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 82.7% 1.21 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 73.5% 1.36 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.9% 1.30 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 62.9% 1.59 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Chirundu Utd37.1%
Draw39.8%
Green Eagles23.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.517.3%
Under 2.582.7%
Both teams to scoreYes26.5%
No73.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.9%
12 (either side)60.2%
X2 (draw or away)62.9%
Handicap -1Chirundu Utd win13.0%
Push (exactly one goal)24.1%
Loss62.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-025.2%
1-018.8%
0-113.1%

Chirundu Utd vs Green Eagles stats

Chirundu Utd and Green Eagles recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Chirundu Utd vs Green Eagles head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Chirundu Utd vs Green Eagles odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot X Draw Predicted score 0 – 0 Low Bet Now
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