Chirundu Utd
vs
Green Eagles
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 β 0 Predicted score Β· 25% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Chirundu Utd vs Green Eagles overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chirundu Utd vs Green Eagles
| Probability | Chirundu Utd | Draw | Green Eagles |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.1% | 39.8% | 23.1% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 37.1% | 39.8% | 23.1% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Chirundu Utd vs Green Eagles match preview
Chirundu Utd faces Green Eagles in the Zambia Super League, with kickoff scheduled for November 5, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities for the match outcome are 37% for a Chirundu Utd win, 40% for a draw, and 23% for a Green Eagles victory. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 0-0, with an expected goals tally of 0.83 for Chirundu Utd and 0.60 for Green Eagles.
Recent form shows Chirundu Utd with two wins, one draw, and one loss, while Green Eagles has recorded two wins, two draws, and two losses in their last six matches. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 17%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 27%. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chirundu Utd and Green Eagles expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.43
Chirundu Utd and Green Eagles attack and defence ratings
Chirundu Utd
Green Eagles
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Chirundu Utd vs Green Eagles markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 39.8% | 2.51 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 82.7% | 1.21 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 73.5% | 1.36 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.9% | 1.30 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.9% | 1.59 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chirundu Utd | 37.1% |
| Draw | 39.8% | |
| Green Eagles | 23.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 17.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 82.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 26.5% |
| No | 73.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 60.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chirundu Utd win | 13.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 62.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 25.2% |
| 1-0 | 18.8% | |
| 0-1 | 13.1% |
Chirundu Utd vs Green Eagles stats
Chirundu Utd and Green Eagles recent form
| WWDL | |
| DWWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.