Konkola Blades
vs
Trident
Garuda Lions Prediction: Konkola Blades
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 1.19.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Konkola Blades vs Trident overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Konkola Blades vs Trident
| Probability | Konkola Blades | Draw | Trident |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.6% | 26.1% | 25.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 48.6% | 26.1% | 25.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Konkola Blades
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 1.19.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Konkola Blades vs Trident match preview
Konkola Blades are set to face Trident in the Zambia Super League, with their model giving Konkola Blades a 49% chance of winning, while Trident holds a 25% probability. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Konkola Blades, with a 10% likelihood. Both teams are expected to score, with a 58% probability, and there is a 55% chance that the match will feature over 2.5 goals.
Recent form shows Konkola Blades with a strong record of four wins in their last six matches, while Trident has struggled, recording only one win in their last five games. Expected goals suggest Konkola Blades will score 1.71, compared to Trident's 1.19, indicating a potential advantage for the home side.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Konkola Blades and Trident expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.90
Konkola Blades and Trident attack and defence ratings
Konkola Blades
Trident
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Konkola Blades vs Trident markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Konkola Blades | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Konkola Blades | 48.6% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Trident | 25.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.1% |
| No | 41.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Konkola Blades win | 26.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 51.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-0 | 8.3% |
Konkola Blades vs Trident stats
Konkola Blades and Trident recent form
| Konkola Blades |
WLWWWD |
| Trident |
WLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.