Konkola Blades
vs
Nchanga Rangers
Garuda Lions Prediction: Konkola Blades
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 0.65.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Konkola Blades vs Nchanga Rangers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Konkola Blades vs Nchanga Rangers
| Probability | Konkola Blades | Draw | Nchanga Rangers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.3% | 25.7% | 12.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 61.3% | 25.7% | 12.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Konkola Blades
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 0.65.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Konkola Blades vs Nchanga Rangers match preview
Konkola Blades enter this match against Nchanga Rangers with a strong recent form, having won four of their last six matches, while Nchanga Rangers have struggled, winning only two of their last six. According to our model, Konkola Blades have a 61% probability of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-0 at 15%. The expected goals suggest a dominant performance from Konkola Blades, projected to score 1.68 goals compared to Nchanga Rangers' 0.65.
In their last two encounters, Konkola Blades have maintained a perfect record against Nchanga Rangers, winning both matches without conceding. The likelihood of a draw stands at 26%, while Nchanga Rangers have only a 13% chance of victory. Additionally, there is a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and both teams have a 40% chance of scoring.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Konkola Blades and Nchanga Rangers expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.33
Konkola Blades and Nchanga Rangers attack and defence ratings
Konkola Blades
Nchanga Rangers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Konkola Blades vs Nchanga Rangers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Konkola Blades | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.7% | 2.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Konkola Blades | 61.3% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Nchanga Rangers | 12.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.8% |
| No | 60.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Konkola Blades win | 35.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.0% | |
| Loss | 38.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.3% |
| 2-0 | 13.8% | |
| 1-1 | 11.7% |
Konkola Blades vs Nchanga Rangers stats
Konkola Blades and Nchanga Rangers recent form
| Konkola Blades |
WWWLWW |
| Nchanga Rangers |
WDWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Konkola Blades and Nchanga Rangers season so far
Konkola Blades record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Nchanga Rangers record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Konkola Blades vs Nchanga Rangers head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Nchanga Rangers | Konkola Blades | Zambia Super League | 1-2 |
| 2026-01-31 | Konkola Blades | Nchanga Rangers | Zambia Super League | 1-0 |
| 2017-11-25 | Konkola Blades | Nchanga Rangers | Super League | 1-2 |
| 2017-07-23 | Nchanga Rangers | Konkola Blades | Super League | 0-0 |
| 2015-08-08 | Nchanga Rangers | Konkola Blades | Super League | 1-0 |
| 2015-04-11 | Konkola Blades | Nchanga Rangers | Super League | 0-0 |
| 2014-09-07 | Konkola Blades | Nchanga Rangers | Super League | 1-0 |
| 2014-05-10 | Nchanga Rangers | Konkola Blades | Super League | 1-3 |
| 2013-11-09 | Konkola Blades | Nchanga Rangers | Super League | 2-0 |
| 2013-07-03 | Nchanga Rangers | Konkola Blades | Super League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.