Man Utd Zambia Academy
vs
Nkana
Garuda Lions Prediction: Man Utd Zambia Academy
1 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.06 vs 0.74.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Nkana overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Nkana
| Probability | Man Utd Zambia Academy | Draw | Nkana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.3% | 34.9% | 23.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.3% | 34.9% | 23.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Man Utd Zambia Academy
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.06 vs 0.74.
Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Nkana match preview
Man Utd Zambia Academy faces Nkana in the Zambia Super League on November 18, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities for the match outcome are 41% for a win by Man Utd Zambia Academy, 35% for a draw, and 24% for a Nkana victory. The expected goals suggest a slight advantage for Man Utd Zambia Academy at 1.06 compared to Nkana's 0.74. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, occurring with a 16% probability.
In terms of recent form, Man Utd Zambia Academy has recorded two draws and three wins in their last six matches, while Nkana has achieved four wins, one draw, and one loss in the same timeframe. The head-to-head record shows both teams have one win each in their last two encounters. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Man Utd Zambia Academy and Nkana expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.79
Man Utd Zambia Academy and Nkana attack and defence ratings
Man Utd Zambia Academy
Nkana
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- ZESCO United v Red Arrows — match page
- Kansanshi Dynamos vs Trident
- Roan United v Chirundu Utd — match page
- Makeni All Stars vs NAPSA Stars — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Nkana markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 73.3% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | 41.3% |
| Draw | 34.9% | |
| Nkana | 23.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 73.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.3% |
| No | 64.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 65.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Man Utd Zambia Academy win | 17.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 58.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.9% |
| 1-0 | 16.3% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Nkana stats
Man Utd Zambia Academy and Nkana recent form
| Man Utd Zambia Academy |
DDWWWD |
| Nkana |
WWDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Man Utd Zambia Academy and Nkana season so far
Man Utd Zambia Academy record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Nkana record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Nkana head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Nkana | Man Utd Zambia Academy | Zambia Super League | 1-2 |
| 2026-01-24 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | Nkana | Zambia Super League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.